Scouting Report
Johan Larsson holds a +1.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Lehtera on neutral-zone draws (63% H2H, 8 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Larsson 51.0% vs Lehtera 50.0% (+1.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Lehtera 78.5%
Defensive zone
Larsson 71.8%
Neutral zone
Larsson 50.2%
Result
Jori Lehtera favored at 53.0%
47.0%
53.0%
Larsson
Lehtera
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
6
(9 meetings)
3
6
Larsson
Lehtera
Last 9: Larsson 3-6 Lehtera
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Lehtera
0
1
Larsson
Lehtera
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Lehtera
3
5
Larsson
Lehtera
8 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Larsson
Lehtera
Edge
Even Strength
51.3% (696)
48.9% (843)
+2.4%
Power Play
56.3% (32)
64.6% (96)
-8.3%
Penalty Kill
41.9% (31)
36.7% (30)
+5.2%
On power play, Lehtera has a +8.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Lehtera shoots left. Larsson is 51.4% vs left-shot opponents (484).
Larsson shoots left. Lehtera is 50.2% vs left-shot opponents (612).
Home / Away
Larsson
Lehtera
Home
51.1% (356)
51.7% (520)
Away
51.1% (403)
48.1% (449)
By Period
Larsson
Lehtera
P1
54.6%
52.8%
P2
51.9%
54.0%
P3
46.7%
43.0%
OT
54.5%
50.0%
Final 5 min
51.2%
46.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Larsson
40.0%▼
46.5%
51.1%
Lehtera
42.0%▼
56.5%
50.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 23, 2015 | 3 | 05:13 | Neutral | Johan Larsson |
| Nov 23, 2015 | 3 | 05:07 | Neutral | Johan Larsson |
| Nov 23, 2015 | 3 | 02:19 | Offensive | Jori Lehtera |
| Nov 23, 2015 | 2 | 06:21 | Neutral | Jori Lehtera |
| Nov 23, 2015 | 2 | 05:49 | Neutral | Jori Lehtera |
| Nov 23, 2015 | 2 | 00:22 | Neutral | Jori Lehtera |
| Nov 19, 2015 | 2 | 11:56 | Neutral | Johan Larsson |
| Nov 19, 2015 | 2 | 01:31 | Neutral | Jori Lehtera |
| Nov 19, 2015 | 1 | 14:00 | Neutral | Jori Lehtera |