Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (49.0% vs 49.2%). Look for Lehtera on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Larsson 49.1% vs Lehtera 49.2% (-0.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Lehtera 71.0%
Defensive zone
Larsson 80.0%
Neutral zone
Lehtera 53.1%
Result
Jori Lehtera favored at 60.3%
39.7%
60.3%
Larsson
Lehtera
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Larsson
Lehtera
Last 5: Larsson 1-4 Lehtera
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Lehtera
0
2
Larsson
Lehtera
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Lehtera
1
2
Larsson
Lehtera
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Larsson
Lehtera
Edge
Even Strength
48.9% (501)
50.0% (728)
-1.1%
Power Play
50.0% (6)
50.0% (82)
+0.0%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (26)
18.2% (22)
+31.8%
On penalty kill, Larsson has a +31.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Lehtera shoots left. Larsson is 48.1% vs left-shot opponents (347).
Larsson shoots left. Lehtera is 52.6% vs left-shot opponents (540).
Home / Away
Larsson
Lehtera
Home
51.7% (265)
50.6% (443)
Away
46.3% (268)
47.6% (389)
By Period
Larsson
Lehtera
P1
58.8%
52.6%
P2
44.1%
48.6%
P3
44.0%
46.3%
OT
71.4%
55.6%
Final 5 min
44.4%
49.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Larsson
40.0%▼
46.5%
49.0%
Lehtera
42.0%▼
56.5%
49.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 15, 2016 | 3 | 02:29 | Neutral | Jori Lehtera |
| Nov 15, 2016 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jori Lehtera |
| Nov 15, 2016 | 2 | 10:29 | Offensive | Jori Lehtera |
| Nov 15, 2016 | 1 | 09:27 | Offensive | Jori Lehtera |
| Nov 15, 2016 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Johan Larsson |