Scouting Report
Marcel Goc holds a +2.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Goc on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Larsson 49.5% vs Goc 52.3% (-2.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Goc 60.8%
Defensive zone
Larsson 63.3%
Neutral zone
Larsson 51.3%
Result
Marcel Goc favored at 50.8%
49.2%
50.8%
Larsson
Goc
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
3
(6 meetings)
3
3
Larsson
Goc
Last 6: Larsson 3-3 Goc
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Goc
1
2
Larsson
Goc
3 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Larsson
Goc
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Larsson
1
0
Larsson
Goc
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Larsson
Goc
Edge
Even Strength
50.5% (4,382)
53.0% (3,301)
-2.5%
Power Play
47.7% (153)
58.0% (314)
-10.3%
Penalty Kill
43.8% (714)
47.4% (728)
-3.6%
On power play, Goc has a +10.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Goc shoots left. Larsson is 49.6% vs left-shot opponents (3,402).
Larsson shoots left. Goc is 52.2% vs left-shot opponents (2,768).
Home / Away
Larsson
Goc
Home
51.2% (2,493)
53.9% (2,079)
Away
48.0% (2,756)
51.0% (2,296)
By Period
Larsson
Goc
P1
51.6%
51.9%
P2
49.7%
53.1%
P3
47.2%
52.4%
OT
52.3%
44.9%
Final 5 min
49.4%
53.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Larsson
40.0%▼
46.5%
49.5%
Goc
52.0%▼
55.5%
52.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 9, 2014 | 3 | 14:06 | Defensive | Johan Larsson |
| Jan 9, 2014 | 1 | 12:05 | Offensive | Johan Larsson |
| Jan 9, 2014 | 1 | 11:58 | Defensive | Marcel Goc |
| Oct 25, 2013 | 2 | 11:45 | Offensive | Marcel Goc |
| Oct 25, 2013 | 2 | 11:35 | Neutral | Johan Larsson |
| Oct 25, 2013 | 2 | 04:20 | Offensive | Marcel Goc |