Scouting Report
Marcus Kruger holds a +1.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Larsson on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Larsson 49.5% vs Kruger 50.5% (-1.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Larsson 54.0%
Defensive zone
Kruger 51.4%
Neutral zone
Kruger 50.5%
Result
Johan Larsson favored at 51.5%
51.5%
48.5%
Larsson
Kruger
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
4
(8 meetings)
4
4
Larsson
Kruger
Last 8: Larsson 4-4 Kruger
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Larsson
4
0
Larsson
Kruger
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kruger
0
2
Larsson
Kruger
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kruger
0
2
Larsson
Kruger
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Larsson
Kruger
Edge
Even Strength
50.5% (4,382)
52.4% (3,509)
-1.9%
Power Play
47.7% (153)
46.5% (99)
+1.2%
Penalty Kill
43.8% (714)
42.9% (860)
+0.9%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kruger shoots left. Larsson is 49.6% vs left-shot opponents (3,402).
Larsson shoots left. Kruger is 50.4% vs left-shot opponents (2,762).
Home / Away
Larsson
Kruger
Home
51.2% (2,493)
52.7% (2,242)
Away
48.0% (2,756)
48.3% (2,231)
By Period
Larsson
Kruger
P1
51.6%
49.7%
P2
49.7%
49.7%
P3
47.2%
52.1%
OT
52.3%
53.2%
Final 5 min
49.4%
51.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Larsson
40.0%▼
46.5%
49.5%
Kruger
50.0%▬
51.0%
50.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 15, 2017 | 2 | 15:05 | Neutral | Marcus Kruger |
| Nov 18, 2017 | 1 | 17:30 | Offensive | Johan Larsson |
| Apr 3, 2015 | 3 | 04:21 | Offensive | Johan Larsson |
| Apr 3, 2015 | 2 | 11:42 | Offensive | Johan Larsson |
| Apr 3, 2015 | 2 | 11:34 | Defensive | Marcus Kruger |
| Apr 3, 2015 | 2 | 02:15 | Offensive | Johan Larsson |
| Apr 3, 2015 | 2 | 02:09 | Neutral | Marcus Kruger |
| Apr 3, 2015 | 1 | 06:11 | Defensive | Marcus Kruger |