Scouting Report
Johan Larsson holds a +5.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Larsson on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Larsson 53.9% vs Jankowski 48.9% (+5.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Jankowski 80.9%
Defensive zone
Larsson 58.7%
Neutral zone
Jankowski 55.5%
Result
Mark Jankowski favored at 52.7%
47.3%
52.7%
Larsson
Jankowski
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
Larsson
Jankowski
Last 6: Larsson 2-4 Jankowski
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Jankowski
0
1
Larsson
Jankowski
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Larsson
2
1
Larsson
Jankowski
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Jankowski
0
2
Larsson
Jankowski
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Larsson
Jankowski
Edge
Even Strength
54.8% (509)
49.5% (746)
+5.3%
Power Play
36.4% (11)
53.1% (32)
-16.7%
Penalty Kill
54.6% (119)
28.1% (32)
+26.5%
On penalty kill, Larsson has a +26.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Jankowski shoots left. Larsson is 52.7% vs left-shot opponents (404).
Larsson shoots left. Jankowski is 51.2% vs left-shot opponents (514).
Home / Away
Larsson
Jankowski
Home
57.5% (301)
50.4% (399)
Away
51.8% (338)
47.2% (411)
By Period
Larsson
Jankowski
P1
54.8%
49.4%
P2
49.1%
48.7%
P3
60.0%
48.7%
Final 5 min
60.4%
52.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Larsson
40.0%▼
46.5%
54.5%
Jankowski
58.0%▲
52.0%
48.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 7, 2018 | 3 | 15:14 | Defensive | Mark Jankowski |
| Mar 7, 2018 | 3 | 10:38 | Neutral | Mark Jankowski |
| Mar 7, 2018 | 2 | 13:37 | Defensive | Johan Larsson |
| Mar 7, 2018 | 1 | 05:15 | Offensive | Mark Jankowski |
| Mar 7, 2018 | 1 | 05:08 | Defensive | Johan Larsson |
| Jan 22, 2018 | 3 | 11:57 | Neutral | Mark Jankowski |