Scouting Report
Johan Larsson holds a +5.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Larsson on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Larsson 49.1% vs Scheifele 43.9% (+5.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Larsson 50.6%
Defensive zone
Larsson 85.5%
Neutral zone
Larsson 63.8%
Result
Johan Larsson favored at 72.9%
72.9%
27.1%
Larsson
Scheifele
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
3
(9 meetings)
6
3
Larsson
Scheifele
Last 9: Larsson 6-3 Scheifele
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Scheifele
0
2
Larsson
Scheifele
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Larsson
5
0
Larsson
Scheifele
5 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Larsson
Scheifele
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Larsson
Scheifele
Edge
Even Strength
48.9% (501)
43.9% (1,136)
+5.0%
Power Play
50.0% (6)
43.0% (237)
+7.0%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (26)
38.6% (88)
+11.4%
On penalty kill, Larsson has a +11.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Scheifele shoots right. Larsson is 50.5% vs right-shot opponents (186).
Larsson shoots left. Scheifele is 43.5% vs left-shot opponents (1,035).
Home / Away
Larsson
Scheifele
Home
51.7% (265)
45.3% (739)
Away
46.3% (268)
41.6% (722)
By Period
Larsson
Scheifele
P1
58.8%
45.6%
P2
44.1%
42.6%
P3
44.0%
42.8%
OT
71.4%
26.7%
Final 5 min
44.4%
39.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Larsson
40.0%▼
46.5%
49.0%
Scheifele
50.0%▬
51.0%
43.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 30, 2016 | 3 | 19:06 | Defensive | Johan Larsson |
| Oct 30, 2016 | 3 | 18:53 | Defensive | Johan Larsson |
| Oct 30, 2016 | 3 | 15:16 | Offensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Oct 30, 2016 | 3 | 04:26 | Neutral | Johan Larsson |
| Oct 30, 2016 | 2 | 11:07 | Offensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Oct 30, 2016 | 1 | 18:05 | Defensive | Johan Larsson |
| Oct 30, 2016 | 1 | 06:32 | Defensive | Johan Larsson |
| Oct 30, 2016 | 1 | 03:22 | Defensive | Johan Larsson |
| Oct 30, 2016 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mark Scheifele |