Scouting Report
Matt Cullen holds a +4.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Cullen on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Larsson 49.5% vs Cullen 53.6% (-4.1%)
H2H factor
Cullen leads 8-3 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Larsson 74.9%
Defensive zone
Larsson 79.4%
Neutral zone
Larsson 75.4%
Result
Johan Larsson favored at 76.7%
76.7%
23.3%
Larsson
Cullen
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
8
(11 meetings)
3
8
Larsson
Cullen
Last 10: Larsson 2-8 Cullen
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Cullen
0
3
Larsson
Cullen
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Larsson
3
1
Larsson
Cullen
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Cullen
0
4
Larsson
Cullen
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Larsson
Cullen
Edge
Even Strength
50.5% (4,382)
54.8% (5,371)
-4.3%
Power Play
47.7% (153)
52.3% (421)
-4.6%
Penalty Kill
43.8% (714)
48.0% (953)
-4.2%
On power play, Cullen has a +4.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Cullen shoots left. Larsson is 49.6% vs left-shot opponents (3,402).
Larsson shoots left. Cullen is 52.8% vs left-shot opponents (4,432).
Home / Away
Larsson
Cullen
Home
51.2% (2,493)
55.8% (3,288)
Away
48.0% (2,756)
51.6% (3,488)
By Period
Larsson
Cullen
P1
51.6%
54.7%
P2
49.7%
52.8%
P3
47.2%
53.3%
OT
52.3%
62.7%
Final 5 min
49.4%
53.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Larsson
40.0%▼
46.5%
49.5%
Cullen
58.0%▲
53.5%
53.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 14, 2019 | 1 | 02:33 | Neutral | Matt Cullen |
| Mar 1, 2019 | 2 | 04:27 | Defensive | Johan Larsson |
| Mar 29, 2016 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Matt Cullen |
| Mar 29, 2016 | 2 | 19:11 | Neutral | Matt Cullen |
| Mar 29, 2016 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Matt Cullen |
| Feb 21, 2016 | 3 | 02:10 | Defensive | Matt Cullen |
| Feb 21, 2016 | 1 | 03:28 | Offensive | Matt Cullen |
| Mar 21, 2015 | 2 | 08:42 | Defensive | Johan Larsson |
| Mar 21, 2015 | 1 | 00:17 | Offensive | Matt Cullen |
| Mar 27, 2014 | 1 | 17:39 | Offensive | Matt Cullen |
| Mar 27, 2014 | 1 | 07:39 | Defensive | Johan Larsson |