Scouting Report
Max McCormick holds a +2.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Larsson on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Larsson 49.5% vs McCormick 50.9% (-2.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
McCormick 78.7%
Defensive zone
Larsson 77.1%
Neutral zone
Larsson 51.1%
Result
Johan Larsson favored at 50.3%
50.3%
49.7%
Larsson
McCormick
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Larsson
McCormick
Last 5: Larsson 3-2 McCormick
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: McCormick
0
1
Larsson
McCormick
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: McCormick
0
1
Larsson
McCormick
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Larsson
3
0
Larsson
McCormick
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Larsson
McCormick
Edge
Even Strength
50.5% (4,382)
52.5% (122)
-2.0%
Power Play
47.7% (153)
0.0% (1)
+47.7%
Penalty Kill
43.8% (714)
40.0% (5)
+3.8%
On power play, Larsson has a +47.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McCormick shoots left. Larsson is 49.6% vs left-shot opponents (3,402).
Larsson shoots left. McCormick is 47.4% vs left-shot opponents (76).
Home / Away
Larsson
McCormick
Home
51.2% (2,493)
45.8% (72)
Away
48.0% (2,756)
58.9% (56)
By Period
Larsson
McCormick
P1
51.6%
50.0%
P2
49.7%
51.1%
P3
47.2%
54.1%
Final 5 min
49.4%
43.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Larsson
40.0%▼
46.5%
49.5%
McCormick
54.0%▲
51.6%
51.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 26, 2016 | 2 | 10:38 | Neutral | Johan Larsson |
| Jan 26, 2016 | 2 | 06:42 | Neutral | Johan Larsson |
| Jan 26, 2016 | 2 | 03:39 | Defensive | Max McCormick |
| Jan 26, 2016 | 2 | 00:48 | Neutral | Johan Larsson |
| Jan 26, 2016 | 1 | 18:55 | Offensive | Max McCormick |