Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (51.1% vs 51.3%). Look for Larsson on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Larsson 51.0% vs McCormick 50.6% (-0.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
McCormick 67.4%
Defensive zone
Larsson 62.9%
Neutral zone
Larsson 60.9%
Result
Johan Larsson favored at 55.6%
55.6%
44.4%
Larsson
McCormick
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Larsson
McCormick
Last 5: Larsson 3-2 McCormick
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: McCormick
0
1
Larsson
McCormick
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: McCormick
0
1
Larsson
McCormick
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Larsson
3
0
Larsson
McCormick
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Larsson
McCormick
Edge
Even Strength
51.3% (696)
52.0% (75)
-0.7%
Penalty Kill
41.9% (31)
0.0% (1)
+41.9%
On penalty kill, Larsson has a +41.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McCormick shoots left. Larsson is 51.4% vs left-shot opponents (484).
Larsson shoots left. McCormick is 41.3% vs left-shot opponents (46).
Home / Away
Larsson
McCormick
Home
51.1% (356)
40.5% (42)
Away
51.1% (403)
64.7% (34)
By Period
Larsson
McCormick
P1
54.6%
58.1%
P2
51.9%
36.0%
P3
46.7%
60.0%
Final 5 min
51.2%
46.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Larsson
40.0%▼
46.5%
51.1%
McCormick
54.0%▲
51.6%
51.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 26, 2016 | 2 | 10:38 | Neutral | Johan Larsson |
| Jan 26, 2016 | 2 | 06:42 | Neutral | Johan Larsson |
| Jan 26, 2016 | 2 | 03:39 | Defensive | Max McCormick |
| Jan 26, 2016 | 2 | 00:48 | Neutral | Johan Larsson |
| Jan 26, 2016 | 1 | 18:55 | Offensive | Max McCormick |