Scouting Report
Johan Larsson holds a +1.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Zibanejad on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Larsson wins 46.9% vs right-shot opponents — Zibanejad shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Larsson 50.6% vs Zibanejad 49.7% (+1.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Zibanejad 89.1%
Defensive zone
Larsson 86.2%
Neutral zone
Zibanejad 52.9%
Result
Mika Zibanejad favored at 67.4%
32.6%
67.4%
Larsson
Zibanejad
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Larsson
Zibanejad
Last 5: Larsson 1-4 Zibanejad
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Zibanejad
0
2
Larsson
Zibanejad
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Zibanejad
1
2
Larsson
Zibanejad
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Larsson
Zibanejad
Edge
Even Strength
53.8% (773)
49.5% (1,211)
+4.3%
Power Play
0.0% (2)
52.8% (214)
-52.8%
Penalty Kill
39.9% (218)
47.4% (247)
-7.5%
On power play, Zibanejad has a +52.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zibanejad shoots right. Larsson is 46.9% vs right-shot opponents (356).
Larsson shoots left. Zibanejad is 49.4% vs left-shot opponents (1,084).
Home / Away
Larsson
Zibanejad
Home
51.2% (490)
52.8% (825)
Away
50.1% (503)
46.6% (848)
By Period
Larsson
Zibanejad
P1
50.6%
50.8%
P2
53.1%
46.5%
P3
48.3%
52.0%
OT
50.0%
48.5%
Final 5 min
49.8%
49.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Larsson
40.0%▼
46.5%
50.7%
Zibanejad
50.0%▼
51.5%
49.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 15, 2019 | 3 | 12:41 | Offensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Feb 15, 2019 | 3 | 07:06 | Offensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Feb 15, 2019 | 2 | 17:01 | Neutral | Mika Zibanejad |
| Feb 15, 2019 | 2 | 16:56 | Neutral | Mika Zibanejad |
| Feb 15, 2019 | 1 | 14:03 | Neutral | Johan Larsson |