Scouting Report
Johan Larsson holds a +6.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Ribeiro on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Larsson 49.5% vs Ribeiro 43.2% (+6.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Ribeiro 84.9%
Defensive zone
Larsson 88.0%
Neutral zone
Ribeiro 54.8%
Result
Johan Larsson favored at 50.8%
50.8%
49.2%
Larsson
Ribeiro
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
5
(9 meetings)
4
5
Larsson
Ribeiro
Last 9: Larsson 4-5 Ribeiro
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Ribeiro
0
4
Larsson
Ribeiro
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Larsson
3
1
Larsson
Ribeiro
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Larsson
1
0
Larsson
Ribeiro
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Larsson
Ribeiro
Edge
Even Strength
50.5% (4,382)
42.9% (4,887)
+7.6%
Power Play
47.7% (153)
45.6% (930)
+2.1%
Penalty Kill
43.8% (714)
33.3% (147)
+10.5%
On penalty kill, Larsson has a +10.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Ribeiro shoots left. Larsson is 49.6% vs left-shot opponents (3,402).
Larsson shoots left. Ribeiro is 45.3% vs left-shot opponents (3,885).
Home / Away
Larsson
Ribeiro
Home
51.2% (2,493)
44.1% (3,144)
Away
48.0% (2,756)
41.9% (2,837)
By Period
Larsson
Ribeiro
P1
51.6%
42.6%
P2
49.7%
44.3%
P3
47.2%
41.8%
OT
52.3%
49.0%
Final 5 min
49.4%
41.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Larsson
40.0%▼
46.5%
49.5%
Ribeiro
34.0%▼
36.0%
43.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 21, 2015 | 3 | 09:03 | Offensive | Mike Ribeiro |
| Mar 21, 2015 | 2 | 14:32 | Defensive | Johan Larsson |
| Mar 21, 2015 | 1 | 15:33 | Offensive | Mike Ribeiro |
| Dec 23, 2013 | 3 | 14:47 | Defensive | Mike Ribeiro |
| Dec 23, 2013 | 1 | 18:47 | Offensive | Mike Ribeiro |
| Dec 23, 2013 | 1 | 18:38 | Defensive | Johan Larsson |
| Dec 23, 2013 | 1 | 10:47 | Neutral | Johan Larsson |
| Dec 23, 2013 | 1 | 06:38 | Defensive | Johan Larsson |
| Dec 23, 2013 | 1 | 04:25 | Offensive | Mike Ribeiro |