Scouting Report
Mikko Koivu holds a +4.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Koivu on offensive-zone draws (82% H2H, 11 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Larsson 49.5% vs Koivu 54.0% (-4.6%)
H2H factor
Koivu leads 20-12 in 32 meetings
Offensive zone
Larsson 64.2%
Defensive zone
Larsson 88.6%
Neutral zone
Larsson 74.3%
Result
Johan Larsson favored at 73.1%
73.1%
26.9%
Larsson
Koivu
Head-to-Head Record
12
-
20
(32 meetings)
12
20
Larsson
Koivu
Last 10: Larsson 6-4 Koivu
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Koivu
2
9
Larsson
Koivu
11 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Larsson
5
0
Larsson
Koivu
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Koivu
5
11
Larsson
Koivu
16 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Larsson
Koivu
Edge
Even Strength
50.5% (4,382)
54.0% (9,465)
-3.5%
Power Play
47.7% (153)
58.6% (2,100)
-10.9%
Penalty Kill
43.8% (714)
48.9% (1,688)
-5.1%
On power play, Koivu has a +10.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Koivu shoots left. Larsson is 49.6% vs left-shot opponents (3,402).
Larsson shoots left. Koivu is 53.3% vs left-shot opponents (8,701).
Home / Away
Larsson
Koivu
Home
51.2% (2,493)
55.8% (6,577)
Away
48.0% (2,756)
52.3% (6,719)
By Period
Larsson
Koivu
P1
51.6%
53.5%
P2
49.7%
54.6%
P3
47.2%
54.0%
OT
52.3%
56.5%
Final 5 min
49.4%
53.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Larsson
40.0%▼
46.5%
49.5%
Koivu
44.0%▼
52.5%
54.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 17, 2018 | 2 | 04:43 | Defensive | Johan Larsson |
| Nov 17, 2018 | 1 | 12:26 | Defensive | Johan Larsson |
| Nov 17, 2018 | 1 | 10:22 | Neutral | Johan Larsson |
| Nov 17, 2018 | 1 | 10:12 | Neutral | Mikko Koivu |
| Nov 17, 2018 | 1 | 06:59 | Offensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Nov 22, 2017 | 2 | 14:56 | Defensive | Johan Larsson |
| Oct 27, 2016 | 3 | 00:11 | Offensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Oct 27, 2016 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mikko Koivu |
| Oct 27, 2016 | 2 | 06:59 | Offensive | Johan Larsson |
| Oct 27, 2016 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Johan Larsson |
| Oct 27, 2016 | 1 | 18:51 | Neutral | Mikko Koivu |
| Oct 27, 2016 | 1 | 05:24 | Neutral | Mikko Koivu |
| Mar 5, 2016 | OT | 01:51 | Neutral | Johan Larsson |
| Mar 5, 2016 | 3 | 10:10 | Offensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Mar 5, 2016 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mikko Koivu |
| Mar 5, 2016 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mikko Koivu |
| Mar 5, 2016 | 2 | 12:26 | Offensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Mar 5, 2016 | 2 | 09:11 | Neutral | Mikko Koivu |
| Mar 5, 2016 | 1 | 18:54 | Offensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Mar 5, 2016 | 1 | 16:13 | Defensive | Johan Larsson |