Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (48.6% vs 48.1%). Look for Sundqvist on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Larsson 48.8% vs Sundqvist 48.7% (+0.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Sundqvist 56.7%
Defensive zone
Larsson 64.7%
Neutral zone
Larsson 59.4%
Result
Johan Larsson favored at 52.5%
52.5%
47.5%
Larsson
Sundqvist
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
5
(7 meetings)
2
5
Larsson
Sundqvist
Last 7: Larsson 2-5 Sundqvist
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Sundqvist
0
4
Larsson
Sundqvist
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Larsson
2
1
Larsson
Sundqvist
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Larsson
Sundqvist
Edge
Even Strength
50.2% (504)
44.8% (165)
+5.4%
Power Play
33.3% (9)
75.0% (8)
-41.7%
Penalty Kill
41.7% (96)
53.0% (66)
-11.3%
On power play, Sundqvist has a +41.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Sundqvist shoots right. Larsson is 52.1% vs right-shot opponents (169).
Larsson shoots left. Sundqvist is 48.4% vs left-shot opponents (188).
Home / Away
Larsson
Sundqvist
Home
48.2% (272)
47.1% (119)
Away
49.0% (337)
49.2% (120)
By Period
Larsson
Sundqvist
P1
48.6%
48.0%
P2
56.1%
46.6%
P3
41.0%
50.0%
OT
33.3%
50.0%
Final 5 min
39.6%
54.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Larsson
40.0%▼
46.5%
48.6%
Sundqvist
44.0%▼
49.5%
48.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 12, 2021 | 1 | 17:40 | Offensive | Oskar Sundqvist |
| Feb 12, 2021 | 1 | 01:01 | Offensive | Oskar Sundqvist |
| Feb 8, 2021 | 3 | 01:36 | Defensive | Johan Larsson |
| Feb 8, 2021 | 1 | 02:41 | Defensive | Oskar Sundqvist |
| Feb 6, 2021 | 2 | 19:25 | Offensive | Oskar Sundqvist |
| Feb 6, 2021 | 2 | 19:17 | Offensive | Oskar Sundqvist |
| Feb 6, 2021 | 2 | 19:14 | Defensive | Johan Larsson |