Scouting Report
Johan Larsson holds a +1.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Larsson on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Larsson 48.8% vs Marleau 47.8% (+1.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Marleau 74.4%
Defensive zone
Larsson 71.1%
Neutral zone
Larsson 51.8%
Result
Patrick Marleau favored at 58.9%
41.1%
58.9%
Larsson
Marleau
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
4
(8 meetings)
4
4
Larsson
Marleau
Last 8: Larsson 4-4 Marleau
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
2
2
Larsson
Marleau
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Marleau
0
1
Larsson
Marleau
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Larsson
2
1
Larsson
Marleau
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Larsson
Marleau
Edge
Even Strength
50.2% (504)
46.0% (274)
+4.2%
Power Play
33.3% (9)
57.1% (14)
-23.8%
Penalty Kill
41.7% (96)
58.3% (12)
-16.6%
On power play, Marleau has a +23.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Marleau shoots left. Larsson is 47.3% vs left-shot opponents (440).
Larsson shoots left. Marleau is 43.0% vs left-shot opponents (186).
Home / Away
Larsson
Marleau
Home
48.2% (272)
46.9% (209)
Away
49.0% (337)
47.3% (91)
By Period
Larsson
Marleau
P1
48.6%
51.0%
P2
56.1%
47.1%
P3
41.0%
43.8%
OT
33.3%
0.0%
Final 5 min
39.6%
48.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Larsson
40.0%▼
46.5%
48.6%
Marleau
50.0%▲
47.0%
47.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 28, 2021 | 2 | 11:34 | Offensive | Johan Larsson |
| Apr 28, 2021 | 1 | 15:47 | Neutral | Johan Larsson |
| Apr 28, 2021 | 1 | 14:14 | Offensive | Johan Larsson |
| Apr 28, 2021 | 1 | 14:08 | Neutral | Patrick Marleau |
| Apr 26, 2021 | 3 | 08:47 | Defensive | Patrick Marleau |
| Apr 26, 2021 | 2 | 15:39 | Offensive | Patrick Marleau |
| Mar 27, 2021 | 1 | 14:03 | Offensive | Patrick Marleau |
| Jan 16, 2021 | 1 | 12:31 | Neutral | Johan Larsson |