Scouting Report
Johan Larsson holds a +7.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Elias on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Larsson 49.5% vs Elias 42.7% (+7.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Elias 85.5%
Defensive zone
Elias 57.5%
Neutral zone
Elias 77.0%
Result
Patrik Elias favored at 69.2%
30.8%
69.2%
Larsson
Elias
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Larsson
Elias
Last 5: Larsson 1-4 Elias
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Larsson
Elias
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Elias
0
3
Larsson
Elias
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Larsson
Elias
Edge
Even Strength
50.5% (4,382)
42.3% (2,591)
+8.2%
Power Play
47.7% (153)
48.4% (405)
-0.7%
Penalty Kill
43.8% (714)
36.0% (367)
+7.8%
On even strength, Larsson has a +8.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Elias shoots left. Larsson is 49.6% vs left-shot opponents (3,402).
Larsson shoots left. Elias is 42.9% vs left-shot opponents (2,229).
Home / Away
Larsson
Elias
Home
51.2% (2,493)
43.2% (1,683)
Away
48.0% (2,756)
41.7% (1,725)
By Period
Larsson
Elias
P1
51.6%
41.1%
P2
49.7%
43.1%
P3
47.2%
43.0%
OT
52.3%
43.2%
Final 5 min
49.4%
40.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Larsson
40.0%▼
46.5%
49.5%
Elias
40.0%▲
37.5%
42.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 1, 2014 | 3 | 18:39 | Defensive | Patrik Elias |
| Apr 1, 2014 | 3 | 06:58 | Neutral | Patrik Elias |
| Apr 1, 2014 | 3 | 04:41 | Neutral | Patrik Elias |
| Apr 1, 2014 | 2 | 18:18 | Neutral | Patrik Elias |
| Apr 1, 2014 | 2 | 14:43 | Defensive | Johan Larsson |