Scouting Report
Johan Larsson holds a +3.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Holland on neutral-zone draws (78% H2H, 9 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Larsson 49.5% vs Holland 45.9% (+3.8%)
H2H factor
Holland leads 9-7 in 16 meetings
Offensive zone
Holland 70.5%
Defensive zone
Larsson 59.5%
Neutral zone
Holland 54.7%
Result
Peter Holland favored at 56.0%
44.0%
56.0%
Larsson
Holland
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
9
(16 meetings)
7
9
Larsson
Holland
Last 10: Larsson 3-7 Holland
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
2
2
Larsson
Holland
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Larsson
3
0
Larsson
Holland
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Holland
2
7
Larsson
Holland
9 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Larsson
Holland
Edge
Even Strength
50.5% (4,382)
45.6% (2,232)
+4.9%
Power Play
47.7% (153)
52.4% (126)
-4.7%
Penalty Kill
43.8% (714)
42.3% (137)
+1.5%
On even strength, Larsson has a +4.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Holland shoots left. Larsson is 49.6% vs left-shot opponents (3,402).
Larsson shoots left. Holland is 47.4% vs left-shot opponents (1,605).
Home / Away
Larsson
Holland
Home
51.2% (2,493)
48.6% (1,288)
Away
48.0% (2,756)
42.7% (1,207)
By Period
Larsson
Holland
P1
51.6%
46.1%
P2
49.7%
47.3%
P3
47.2%
43.9%
OT
52.3%
39.1%
Final 5 min
49.4%
46.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Larsson
40.0%▼
46.5%
49.5%
Holland
38.0%▼
48.0%
45.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 24, 2018 | 3 | 19:28 | Neutral | Peter Holland |
| Jan 18, 2018 | 2 | 17:10 | Neutral | Peter Holland |
| Jan 18, 2018 | 1 | 19:57 | Neutral | Peter Holland |
| Mar 7, 2016 | 3 | 18:52 | Offensive | Peter Holland |
| Mar 7, 2016 | 3 | 02:51 | Neutral | Johan Larsson |
| Mar 11, 2015 | OT | 02:13 | Offensive | Peter Holland |
| Mar 11, 2015 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Peter Holland |
| Mar 11, 2015 | 2 | 04:10 | Defensive | Johan Larsson |
| Mar 11, 2015 | 1 | 06:11 | Neutral | Peter Holland |
| Mar 11, 2015 | 1 | 01:30 | Defensive | Johan Larsson |
| Mar 11, 2015 | 1 | 01:27 | Defensive | Johan Larsson |
| Nov 2, 2013 | 2 | 10:44 | Neutral | Johan Larsson |
| Nov 2, 2013 | 2 | 06:26 | Offensive | Johan Larsson |
| Nov 2, 2013 | 1 | 19:36 | Offensive | Johan Larsson |
| Nov 2, 2013 | 1 | 19:29 | Neutral | Peter Holland |
| Nov 2, 2013 | 1 | 02:11 | Neutral | Peter Holland |