Scouting Report
Peter Holland holds a +1.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Larsson on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Larsson wins 44.3% vs left-shot opponents — Holland shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Larsson 45.4% vs Holland 46.1% (-1.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Larsson 70.4%
Defensive zone
Holland 72.5%
Neutral zone
Holland 51.5%
Result
Peter Holland favored at 58.4%
41.6%
58.4%
Larsson
Holland
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
3
(6 meetings)
3
3
Larsson
Holland
Last 6: Larsson 3-3 Holland
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Holland
0
1
Larsson
Holland
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Larsson
3
0
Larsson
Holland
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Holland
0
2
Larsson
Holland
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Larsson
Holland
Edge
Even Strength
45.2% (290)
45.4% (575)
-0.2%
Power Play
38.6% (44)
44.8% (29)
-6.2%
Penalty Kill
28.6% (7)
46.9% (81)
-18.3%
On penalty kill, Holland has a +18.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Holland shoots left. Larsson is 44.3% vs left-shot opponents (212).
Larsson shoots left. Holland is 46.9% vs left-shot opponents (439).
Home / Away
Larsson
Holland
Home
45.1% (153)
47.2% (373)
Away
43.1% (188)
43.6% (312)
By Period
Larsson
Holland
P1
45.3%
46.8%
P2
41.4%
47.6%
P3
44.0%
42.5%
OT
60.0%
41.7%
Final 5 min
38.6%
42.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Larsson
40.0%▼
46.5%
44.0%
Holland
38.0%▼
48.0%
45.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 11, 2015 | OT | 02:13 | Offensive | Peter Holland |
| Mar 11, 2015 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Peter Holland |
| Mar 11, 2015 | 2 | 04:10 | Defensive | Johan Larsson |
| Mar 11, 2015 | 1 | 06:11 | Neutral | Peter Holland |
| Mar 11, 2015 | 1 | 01:30 | Defensive | Johan Larsson |
| Mar 11, 2015 | 1 | 01:27 | Defensive | Johan Larsson |