Scouting Report
Phillip Danault holds a +4.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Larsson on neutral-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Larsson 50.6% vs Danault 55.2% (-4.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Danault 94.3%
Defensive zone
Larsson 58.1%
Neutral zone
Danault 78.4%
Result
Phillip Danault favored at 79.6%
20.4%
79.6%
Larsson
Danault
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
3
(9 meetings)
6
3
Larsson
Danault
Last 9: Larsson 6-3 Danault
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Danault
1
2
Larsson
Danault
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Larsson
1
0
Larsson
Danault
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Larsson
4
1
Larsson
Danault
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Larsson
Danault
Edge
Even Strength
53.8% (773)
54.8% (1,222)
-1.0%
Power Play
0.0% (2)
81.6% (49)
-81.6%
Penalty Kill
39.9% (218)
54.3% (317)
-14.4%
On power play, Danault has a +81.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Danault shoots left. Larsson is 52.7% vs left-shot opponents (637).
Larsson shoots left. Danault is 53.8% vs left-shot opponents (1,042).
Home / Away
Larsson
Danault
Home
51.2% (490)
56.2% (770)
Away
50.1% (503)
54.9% (818)
By Period
Larsson
Danault
P1
50.6%
52.5%
P2
53.1%
57.9%
P3
48.3%
55.6%
OT
50.0%
66.7%
Final 5 min
49.8%
56.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Larsson
40.0%▼
46.5%
50.7%
Danault
54.0%▼
57.5%
55.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 23, 2019 | 1 | 12:34 | Offensive | Phillip Danault |
| Nov 23, 2018 | 3 | 08:13 | Offensive | Phillip Danault |
| Nov 8, 2018 | 1 | 11:58 | Neutral | Johan Larsson |
| Nov 8, 2018 | 1 | 07:49 | Defensive | Johan Larsson |
| Oct 25, 2018 | 3 | 13:07 | Neutral | Johan Larsson |
| Oct 25, 2018 | 2 | 14:33 | Offensive | Johan Larsson |
| Oct 25, 2018 | 2 | 11:22 | Neutral | Phillip Danault |
| Oct 25, 2018 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Johan Larsson |
| Oct 25, 2018 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Johan Larsson |