Scouting Report
Riley Sheahan holds a +1.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Larsson on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings). Larsson wins 46.1% vs left-shot opponents — Sheahan shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Larsson 48.1% vs Sheahan 49.2% (-1.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Sheahan 88.0%
Defensive zone
Larsson 51.1%
Neutral zone
Sheahan 71.2%
Result
Riley Sheahan favored at 60.1%
39.9%
60.1%
Larsson
Sheahan
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
0
(7 meetings)
7
0
Larsson
Sheahan
Last 7: Larsson 7-0 Sheahan
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Larsson
2
0
Larsson
Sheahan
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Larsson
5
0
Larsson
Sheahan
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Larsson
Sheahan
Edge
Even Strength
48.4% (258)
47.6% (429)
+0.8%
Power Play
28.6% (7)
59.5% (79)
-30.9%
Penalty Kill
40.0% (20)
0.0% (4)
+40.0%
On penalty kill, Larsson has a +40.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Sheahan shoots left. Larsson is 46.1% vs left-shot opponents (165).
Larsson shoots left. Sheahan is 48.6% vs left-shot opponents (311).
Home / Away
Larsson
Sheahan
Home
46.8% (154)
52.7% (258)
Away
48.1% (131)
45.3% (254)
By Period
Larsson
Sheahan
P1
50.5%
48.8%
P2
48.5%
49.7%
P3
43.2%
48.9%
Final 5 min
56.5%
50.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Larsson
40.0%▼
46.5%
47.4%
Sheahan
52.0%▲
49.0%
49.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 8, 2014 | 3 | 12:50 | Offensive | Johan Larsson |
| Apr 8, 2014 | 1 | 06:22 | Defensive | Johan Larsson |
| Apr 4, 2014 | 3 | 08:07 | Defensive | Johan Larsson |
| Apr 4, 2014 | 3 | 06:37 | Offensive | Johan Larsson |
| Apr 4, 2014 | 2 | 04:48 | Defensive | Johan Larsson |
| Apr 4, 2014 | 2 | 04:42 | Defensive | Johan Larsson |
| Apr 4, 2014 | 1 | 01:25 | Defensive | Johan Larsson |