Scouting Report
Johan Larsson holds a +4.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Larsson on defensive-zone draws (86% H2H, 7 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Larsson 49.5% vs Hartman 45.3% (+4.3%)
H2H factor
Larsson leads 13-5 in 18 meetings
Offensive zone
Hartman 54.5%
Defensive zone
Larsson 92.4%
Neutral zone
Larsson 75.9%
Result
Johan Larsson favored at 70.5%
70.5%
29.5%
Larsson
Hartman
Head-to-Head Record
13
-
5
(18 meetings)
13
5
Larsson
Hartman
Last 10: Larsson 7-3 Hartman
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hartman
3
4
Larsson
Hartman
7 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Larsson
6
1
Larsson
Hartman
7 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Larsson
4
0
Larsson
Hartman
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Larsson
Hartman
Edge
Even Strength
50.5% (4,382)
45.2% (4,235)
+5.3%
Power Play
47.7% (153)
47.4% (443)
+0.3%
Penalty Kill
43.8% (714)
42.4% (262)
+1.4%
On even strength, Larsson has a +5.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hartman shoots right. Larsson is 49.4% vs right-shot opponents (1,847).
Larsson shoots left. Hartman is 44.4% vs left-shot opponents (3,559).
Home / Away
Larsson
Hartman
Home
51.2% (2,493)
46.7% (2,589)
Away
48.0% (2,756)
43.6% (2,351)
By Period
Larsson
Hartman
P1
51.6%
46.0%
P2
49.7%
42.9%
P3
47.2%
46.8%
OT
52.3%
53.8%
Final 5 min
49.4%
46.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Larsson
40.0%▼
46.5%
49.5%
Hartman
54.0%▲
52.0%
45.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 30, 2021 | 3 | 16:43 | Offensive | Johan Larsson |
| Nov 30, 2021 | 3 | 05:58 | Neutral | Johan Larsson |
| Nov 30, 2021 | 3 | 02:06 | Offensive | Ryan Hartman |
| Nov 30, 2021 | 2 | 09:43 | Offensive | Ryan Hartman |
| Nov 30, 2021 | 1 | 04:35 | Offensive | Johan Larsson |
| Nov 10, 2021 | 3 | 14:31 | Offensive | Johan Larsson |
| Nov 10, 2021 | 3 | 02:44 | Offensive | Ryan Hartman |
| Nov 10, 2021 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Johan Larsson |
| Apr 21, 2021 | 3 | 06:17 | Defensive | Johan Larsson |
| Apr 21, 2021 | 3 | 06:12 | Defensive | Johan Larsson |
| Apr 19, 2021 | 3 | 16:00 | Neutral | Johan Larsson |
| Apr 14, 2021 | 2 | 14:03 | Defensive | Johan Larsson |
| Apr 14, 2021 | 2 | 13:46 | Defensive | Johan Larsson |
| Mar 16, 2021 | 2 | 01:06 | Defensive | Johan Larsson |
| Mar 12, 2021 | 2 | 17:18 | Offensive | Ryan Hartman |
| Mar 12, 2021 | 1 | 07:51 | Defensive | Ryan Hartman |
| Mar 12, 2021 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Johan Larsson |
| Dec 3, 2018 | 1 | 15:08 | Defensive | Johan Larsson |