Scouting Report
Johan Larsson holds a +7.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Larsson on defensive-zone draws (83% H2H, 6 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Larsson 48.8% vs Hartman 43.0% (+7.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Larsson 60.2%
Defensive zone
Larsson 84.3%
Neutral zone
Larsson 81.1%
Result
Johan Larsson favored at 80.9%
80.9%
19.1%
Larsson
Hartman
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
2
(9 meetings)
7
2
Larsson
Hartman
Last 9: Larsson 7-2 Hartman
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hartman
0
1
Larsson
Hartman
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Larsson
5
1
Larsson
Hartman
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Larsson
2
0
Larsson
Hartman
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Larsson
Hartman
Edge
Even Strength
50.2% (504)
40.9% (413)
+9.3%
Power Play
33.3% (9)
53.6% (28)
-20.3%
Penalty Kill
41.7% (96)
38.9% (36)
+2.8%
On power play, Hartman has a +20.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hartman shoots right. Larsson is 52.1% vs right-shot opponents (169).
Larsson shoots left. Hartman is 38.7% vs left-shot opponents (336).
Home / Away
Larsson
Hartman
Home
48.2% (272)
46.2% (249)
Away
49.0% (337)
36.4% (228)
By Period
Larsson
Hartman
P1
48.6%
45.4%
P2
56.1%
39.1%
P3
41.0%
40.2%
Final 5 min
39.6%
41.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Larsson
40.0%▼
46.5%
48.6%
Hartman
54.0%▲
52.0%
41.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 21, 2021 | 3 | 06:17 | Defensive | Johan Larsson |
| Apr 21, 2021 | 3 | 06:12 | Defensive | Johan Larsson |
| Apr 19, 2021 | 3 | 16:00 | Neutral | Johan Larsson |
| Apr 14, 2021 | 2 | 14:03 | Defensive | Johan Larsson |
| Apr 14, 2021 | 2 | 13:46 | Defensive | Johan Larsson |
| Mar 16, 2021 | 2 | 01:06 | Defensive | Johan Larsson |
| Mar 12, 2021 | 2 | 17:18 | Offensive | Ryan Hartman |
| Mar 12, 2021 | 1 | 07:51 | Defensive | Ryan Hartman |
| Mar 12, 2021 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Johan Larsson |