Scouting Report
Johan Larsson holds a +11.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Larsson on neutral-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Larsson 53.9% vs Spooner 45.5% (+11.2%)
H2H factor
Larsson leads 6-5 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Spooner 64.3%
Defensive zone
Larsson 83.7%
Neutral zone
Larsson 66.7%
Result
Johan Larsson favored at 58.5%
58.5%
41.5%
Larsson
Spooner
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
5
(11 meetings)
6
5
Larsson
Spooner
Last 10: Larsson 6-4 Spooner
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
2
2
Larsson
Spooner
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Spooner
0
2
Larsson
Spooner
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Larsson
4
1
Larsson
Spooner
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Larsson
Spooner
Edge
Even Strength
54.8% (509)
43.8% (194)
+11.0%
Power Play
36.4% (11)
37.5% (16)
-1.1%
On even strength, Larsson has a +11.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Spooner shoots left. Larsson is 52.7% vs left-shot opponents (404).
Larsson shoots left. Spooner is 44.3% vs left-shot opponents (140).
Home / Away
Larsson
Spooner
Home
57.5% (301)
42.3% (104)
Away
51.8% (338)
44.3% (106)
By Period
Larsson
Spooner
P1
54.8%
40.6%
P2
49.1%
51.9%
P3
60.0%
36.1%
Final 5 min
60.4%
42.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Larsson
40.0%▼
46.5%
54.5%
Spooner
50.0%▲
44.0%
43.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 24, 2018 | 3 | 15:26 | Neutral | Johan Larsson |
| Mar 24, 2018 | 3 | 12:26 | Offensive | Johan Larsson |
| Mar 24, 2018 | 3 | 10:35 | Neutral | Johan Larsson |
| Mar 24, 2018 | 3 | 06:56 | Offensive | Johan Larsson |
| Mar 24, 2018 | 2 | 15:14 | Offensive | Ryan Spooner |
| Mar 24, 2018 | 2 | 14:47 | Neutral | Ryan Spooner |
| Mar 24, 2018 | 2 | 08:11 | Defensive | Ryan Spooner |
| Mar 24, 2018 | 2 | 01:52 | Neutral | Johan Larsson |
| Mar 24, 2018 | 1 | 16:29 | Neutral | Johan Larsson |
| Mar 24, 2018 | 1 | 03:58 | Defensive | Ryan Spooner |
| Feb 10, 2018 | 1 | 08:33 | Offensive | Ryan Spooner |