Johan Larsson vs Steven Stamkos
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Steven Stamkos holds a +1.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Stamkos on offensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 15 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Larsson 49.5% vs Stamkos 51.0% (-1.5%)
H2H factor
Stamkos leads 26-26 in 52 meetings
Offensive zone
Stamkos 76.8%
Defensive zone
Larsson 82.8%
Neutral zone
Larsson 54.7%
Result
Johan Larsson favored at 54.8%
54.8%
45.2%
Larsson
Stamkos
Head-to-Head Record
26
-
26
(52 meetings)
26
26
Larsson
Stamkos
Last 10: Larsson 6-4 Stamkos
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stamkos
3
12
Larsson
Stamkos
15 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Larsson
11
6
Larsson
Stamkos
17 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Larsson
12
8
Larsson
Stamkos
20 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Larsson
Stamkos
Edge
Even Strength
50.5% (4,382)
50.4% (9,711)
+0.1%
Power Play
47.7% (153)
55.1% (1,709)
-7.4%
Penalty Kill
43.8% (714)
49.7% (819)
-5.9%
On power play, Stamkos has a +7.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stamkos shoots right. Larsson is 49.4% vs right-shot opponents (1,847).
Larsson shoots left. Stamkos is 52.1% vs left-shot opponents (8,701).
Home / Away
Larsson
Stamkos
Home
51.2% (2,493)
52.7% (6,198)
Away
48.0% (2,756)
49.2% (6,067)
By Period
Larsson
Stamkos
P1
51.6%
49.1%
P2
49.7%
52.8%
P3
47.2%
50.8%
OT
52.3%
54.3%
Final 5 min
49.4%
52.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Larsson
40.0%▼
46.5%
49.5%
Stamkos
56.0%▬
56.0%
51.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 28, 2021 | 2 | 19:46 | Offensive | Johan Larsson |
| Oct 28, 2021 | 2 | 13:38 | Neutral | Steven Stamkos |
| Dec 31, 2019 | 3 | 01:01 | Defensive | Johan Larsson |
| Dec 31, 2019 | 2 | 16:55 | Neutral | Johan Larsson |
| Dec 31, 2019 | 2 | 13:09 | Neutral | Johan Larsson |
| Dec 31, 2019 | 2 | 12:59 | Defensive | Johan Larsson |
| Dec 31, 2019 | 2 | 09:56 | Neutral | Johan Larsson |
| Dec 31, 2019 | 1 | 10:29 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Dec 31, 2019 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Steven Stamkos |
| Nov 9, 2019 | 2 | 16:36 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Nov 9, 2019 | 2 | 14:43 | Defensive | Johan Larsson |
| Nov 9, 2019 | 2 | 01:51 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Nov 9, 2019 | 1 | 15:07 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Nov 9, 2019 | 1 | 08:05 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Nov 9, 2019 | 1 | 04:48 | Defensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Nov 8, 2019 | 3 | 01:44 | Neutral | Johan Larsson |
| Feb 21, 2019 | 3 | 16:21 | Neutral | Steven Stamkos |
| Feb 21, 2019 | 2 | 14:34 | Defensive | Johan Larsson |
| Jan 12, 2019 | 3 | 16:45 | Defensive | Johan Larsson |
| Jan 12, 2019 | 3 | 06:01 | Neutral | Steven Stamkos |