Scouting Report
Steven Stamkos holds a +1.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Stamkos on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Larsson 48.1% vs Stamkos 49.3% (-1.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Stamkos 58.1%
Defensive zone
Larsson 68.2%
Neutral zone
Larsson 59.0%
Result
Johan Larsson favored at 60.3%
60.3%
39.7%
Larsson
Stamkos
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
5
(8 meetings)
3
5
Larsson
Stamkos
Last 8: Larsson 3-5 Stamkos
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stamkos
0
1
Larsson
Stamkos
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stamkos
0
3
Larsson
Stamkos
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Larsson
3
1
Larsson
Stamkos
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Larsson
Stamkos
Edge
Even Strength
48.4% (258)
49.0% (433)
-0.6%
Power Play
28.6% (7)
54.3% (70)
-25.7%
Penalty Kill
40.0% (20)
38.5% (26)
+1.5%
On power play, Stamkos has a +25.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stamkos shoots right. Larsson is 49.2% vs right-shot opponents (120).
Larsson shoots left. Stamkos is 50.3% vs left-shot opponents (350).
Home / Away
Larsson
Stamkos
Home
46.8% (154)
51.1% (327)
Away
48.1% (131)
46.0% (202)
By Period
Larsson
Stamkos
P1
50.5%
46.6%
P2
48.5%
51.5%
P3
43.2%
48.6%
Final 5 min
56.5%
43.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Larsson
40.0%▼
46.5%
47.4%
Stamkos
54.0%▬
55.0%
49.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 29, 2014 | 3 | 06:01 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Mar 29, 2014 | 1 | 14:07 | Neutral | Johan Larsson |
| Mar 29, 2014 | 1 | 11:46 | Neutral | Johan Larsson |
| Mar 29, 2014 | 1 | 10:28 | Neutral | Johan Larsson |
| Oct 26, 2013 | 3 | 13:42 | Defensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Oct 26, 2013 | 3 | 13:29 | Defensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Oct 26, 2013 | 2 | 09:32 | Defensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Oct 26, 2013 | 2 | 00:47 | Neutral | Steven Stamkos |