Scouting Report
Johan Larsson holds a +9.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Oshie on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Larsson wins 46.9% vs right-shot opponents — Oshie shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Larsson 50.6% vs Oshie 43.9% (+9.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Oshie 93.8%
Defensive zone
Larsson 88.5%
Neutral zone
Oshie 56.8%
Result
T.J. Oshie favored at 58.3%
41.7%
58.3%
Larsson
Oshie
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
5
(8 meetings)
3
5
Larsson
Oshie
Last 8: Larsson 3-5 Oshie
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Oshie
0
4
Larsson
Oshie
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Larsson
3
0
Larsson
Oshie
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Oshie
0
1
Larsson
Oshie
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Larsson
Oshie
Edge
Even Strength
53.8% (773)
41.2% (51)
+12.6%
Power Play
0.0% (2)
41.8% (141)
-41.8%
Penalty Kill
39.9% (218)
30.8% (13)
+9.1%
On power play, Oshie has a +41.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Oshie shoots right. Larsson is 46.9% vs right-shot opponents (356).
Larsson shoots left. Oshie is 41.4% vs left-shot opponents (162).
Home / Away
Larsson
Oshie
Home
51.2% (490)
42.4% (118)
Away
50.1% (503)
39.1% (87)
By Period
Larsson
Oshie
P1
50.6%
39.1%
P2
53.1%
38.0%
P3
48.3%
45.0%
Final 5 min
49.8%
39.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Larsson
40.0%▼
46.5%
50.7%
Oshie
32.0%▼
43.0%
41.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 23, 2019 | 2 | 14:40 | Neutral | T.J. Oshie |
| Feb 23, 2019 | 2 | 13:56 | Offensive | T.J. Oshie |
| Feb 23, 2019 | 1 | 05:53 | Offensive | T.J. Oshie |
| Feb 23, 2019 | 1 | 00:23 | Offensive | T.J. Oshie |
| Dec 15, 2018 | 3 | 16:21 | Defensive | Johan Larsson |
| Dec 15, 2018 | 3 | 00:44 | Offensive | T.J. Oshie |
| Dec 15, 2018 | 2 | 14:42 | Defensive | Johan Larsson |
| Dec 15, 2018 | 2 | 08:12 | Defensive | Johan Larsson |