Scouting Report
Johan Larsson holds a +9.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Jost on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Larsson 49.5% vs Jost 40.5% (+9.4%)
H2H factor
Jost leads 6-4 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Jost 73.6%
Defensive zone
Jost 56.0%
Neutral zone
Jost 68.2%
Result
Tyson Jost favored at 66.7%
33.3%
66.7%
Larsson
Jost
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
6
(10 meetings)
4
6
Larsson
Jost
Last 10: Larsson 4-6 Jost
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Jost
1
3
Larsson
Jost
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Larsson
2
1
Larsson
Jost
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Jost
1
2
Larsson
Jost
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Larsson
Jost
Edge
Even Strength
50.5% (4,382)
41.0% (2,014)
+9.5%
Power Play
47.7% (153)
34.2% (73)
+13.5%
Penalty Kill
43.8% (714)
35.3% (255)
+8.5%
On power play, Larsson has a +13.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Jost shoots left. Larsson is 49.6% vs left-shot opponents (3,402).
Larsson shoots left. Jost is 40.6% vs left-shot opponents (1,466).
Home / Away
Larsson
Jost
Home
51.2% (2,493)
41.9% (1,238)
Away
48.0% (2,756)
38.1% (1,104)
By Period
Larsson
Jost
P1
51.6%
38.5%
P2
49.7%
41.2%
P3
47.2%
40.9%
OT
52.3%
40.0%
Final 5 min
49.4%
38.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Larsson
40.0%▼
46.5%
49.5%
Jost
38.0%▼
41.5%
40.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 12, 2021 | 2 | 01:48 | Offensive | Johan Larsson |
| Apr 12, 2021 | 1 | 04:52 | Offensive | Tyson Jost |
| Mar 31, 2021 | 2 | 04:27 | Neutral | Johan Larsson |
| Mar 31, 2021 | 1 | 05:36 | Neutral | Tyson Jost |
| Mar 23, 2021 | 3 | 01:13 | Defensive | Tyson Jost |
| Mar 23, 2021 | 1 | 14:47 | Neutral | Tyson Jost |
| Mar 10, 2021 | 3 | 01:43 | Defensive | Johan Larsson |
| Mar 10, 2021 | 2 | 02:08 | Defensive | Johan Larsson |
| Feb 26, 2021 | 3 | 16:29 | Offensive | Tyson Jost |
| Feb 26, 2021 | 1 | 09:02 | Offensive | Tyson Jost |