Scouting Report
Vernon Fiddler holds a +7.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Fiddler on defensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings). Larsson wins 44.3% vs left-shot opponents — Fiddler shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Larsson 45.4% vs Fiddler 51.7% (-7.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Larsson 80.1%
Defensive zone
Fiddler 57.2%
Neutral zone
Larsson 63.8%
Result
Johan Larsson favored at 54.7%
54.7%
45.3%
Larsson
Fiddler
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
5
(8 meetings)
3
5
Larsson
Fiddler
Last 8: Larsson 3-5 Fiddler
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Larsson
Fiddler
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Fiddler
1
4
Larsson
Fiddler
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Larsson
1
0
Larsson
Fiddler
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Larsson
Fiddler
Edge
Even Strength
45.2% (290)
51.8% (819)
-6.6%
Power Play
38.6% (44)
37.9% (29)
+0.7%
Penalty Kill
28.6% (7)
53.8% (249)
-25.2%
On penalty kill, Fiddler has a +25.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Fiddler shoots left. Larsson is 44.3% vs left-shot opponents (212).
Larsson shoots left. Fiddler is 50.9% vs left-shot opponents (721).
Home / Away
Larsson
Fiddler
Home
45.1% (153)
51.1% (546)
Away
43.1% (188)
52.6% (551)
By Period
Larsson
Fiddler
P1
45.3%
51.3%
P2
41.4%
53.7%
P3
44.0%
51.3%
OT
60.0%
22.2%
Final 5 min
38.6%
55.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Larsson
40.0%▼
46.5%
44.0%
Fiddler
54.0%▼
58.5%
51.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 23, 2015 | 3 | 06:14 | Defensive | Vernon Fiddler |
| Mar 23, 2015 | 3 | 02:42 | Defensive | Vernon Fiddler |
| Mar 23, 2015 | 2 | 17:58 | Neutral | Johan Larsson |
| Mar 23, 2015 | 2 | 10:11 | Defensive | Vernon Fiddler |
| Mar 23, 2015 | 2 | 03:53 | Offensive | Johan Larsson |
| Mar 23, 2015 | 2 | 03:49 | Defensive | Vernon Fiddler |
| Mar 23, 2015 | 1 | 12:12 | Defensive | Johan Larsson |
| Mar 23, 2015 | 1 | 02:01 | Offensive | Vernon Fiddler |