Scouting Report
Johan Larsson holds a +3.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Larsson on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Larsson 49.5% vs Dalpe 47.0% (+3.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Dalpe 63.1%
Defensive zone
Larsson 80.1%
Neutral zone
Larsson 60.6%
Result
Johan Larsson favored at 63.1%
63.1%
36.9%
Larsson
Dalpe
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
2
(6 meetings)
4
2
Larsson
Dalpe
Last 6: Larsson 4-2 Dalpe
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Dalpe
0
1
Larsson
Dalpe
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Larsson
2
0
Larsson
Dalpe
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Larsson
2
1
Larsson
Dalpe
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Larsson
Dalpe
Edge
Even Strength
50.5% (4,382)
46.3% (458)
+4.2%
Power Play
47.7% (153)
65.0% (20)
-17.3%
Penalty Kill
43.8% (714)
25.0% (12)
+18.8%
On penalty kill, Larsson has a +18.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Dalpe shoots right. Larsson is 49.4% vs right-shot opponents (1,847).
Larsson shoots left. Dalpe is 47.1% vs left-shot opponents (314).
Home / Away
Larsson
Dalpe
Home
51.2% (2,493)
45.8% (238)
Away
48.0% (2,756)
47.0% (253)
By Period
Larsson
Dalpe
P1
51.6%
44.6%
P2
49.7%
50.6%
P3
47.2%
43.6%
Final 5 min
49.4%
49.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Larsson
40.0%▼
46.5%
49.5%
Dalpe
60.0%▲
48.5%
46.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 25, 2017 | 3 | 19:21 | Neutral | Johan Larsson |
| Oct 25, 2017 | 3 | 17:11 | Defensive | Johan Larsson |
| Oct 25, 2017 | 3 | 10:49 | Offensive | Zac Dalpe |
| Oct 25, 2017 | 3 | 05:33 | Defensive | Johan Larsson |
| Oct 25, 2017 | 3 | 05:27 | Neutral | Johan Larsson |
| Oct 25, 2017 | 1 | 02:00 | Neutral | Zac Dalpe |