Scouting Report
Zack Smith holds a +1.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Smith on offensive-zone draws (86% H2H, 7 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Larsson 49.5% vs Smith 50.6% (-1.1%)
H2H factor
Larsson leads 12-10 in 22 meetings
Offensive zone
Smith 67.4%
Defensive zone
Larsson 55.8%
Neutral zone
Smith 53.2%
Result
Zack Smith favored at 55.3%
44.7%
55.3%
Larsson
Smith
Head-to-Head Record
12
-
10
(22 meetings)
12
10
Larsson
Smith
Last 10: Larsson 3-7 Smith
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Smith
1
6
Larsson
Smith
7 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Larsson
5
1
Larsson
Smith
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Larsson
6
3
Larsson
Smith
9 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Larsson
Smith
Edge
Even Strength
50.5% (4,382)
51.6% (5,265)
-1.1%
Power Play
47.7% (153)
51.2% (342)
-3.5%
Penalty Kill
43.8% (714)
45.3% (985)
-1.5%
On power play, Smith has a +3.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Smith shoots left. Larsson is 49.6% vs left-shot opponents (3,402).
Larsson shoots left. Smith is 52.2% vs left-shot opponents (4,205).
Home / Away
Larsson
Smith
Home
51.2% (2,493)
52.5% (3,289)
Away
48.0% (2,756)
48.7% (3,310)
By Period
Larsson
Smith
P1
51.6%
49.9%
P2
49.7%
50.0%
P3
47.2%
51.9%
OT
52.3%
51.6%
Final 5 min
49.4%
52.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Larsson
40.0%▼
46.5%
49.5%
Smith
40.0%▼
47.0%
50.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 4, 2019 | 3 | 02:32 | Offensive | Zack Smith |
| Dec 12, 2017 | 3 | 11:55 | Neutral | Johan Larsson |
| Dec 12, 2017 | 3 | 11:44 | Defensive | Zack Smith |
| Dec 12, 2017 | 2 | 19:06 | Neutral | Zack Smith |
| Dec 12, 2017 | 2 | 16:25 | Offensive | Zack Smith |
| Nov 29, 2016 | 1 | 00:07 | Neutral | Zack Smith |
| Nov 29, 2016 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Zack Smith |
| Nov 9, 2016 | 3 | 18:44 | Neutral | Johan Larsson |
| Nov 9, 2016 | 3 | 07:50 | Offensive | Zack Smith |
| Nov 9, 2016 | 3 | 01:01 | Defensive | Johan Larsson |
| Nov 9, 2016 | 3 | 00:54 | Defensive | Johan Larsson |
| Nov 5, 2016 | 3 | 10:24 | Defensive | Johan Larsson |
| Nov 5, 2016 | 2 | 14:55 | Defensive | Johan Larsson |
| Nov 5, 2016 | 1 | 17:17 | Defensive | Johan Larsson |
| Nov 5, 2016 | 1 | 12:25 | Neutral | Johan Larsson |
| Nov 5, 2016 | 1 | 07:27 | Offensive | Zack Smith |
| Mar 18, 2016 | 3 | 19:36 | Neutral | Johan Larsson |
| Feb 16, 2016 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Johan Larsson |
| Jan 26, 2016 | 1 | 11:19 | Offensive | Zack Smith |
| Oct 8, 2015 | 3 | 11:59 | Neutral | Johan Larsson |