Scouting Report
Zack Smith holds a +3.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Larsson on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Larsson 49.1% vs Smith 51.8% (-3.1%)
H2H factor
Larsson leads 7-4 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Smith 74.1%
Defensive zone
Larsson 56.0%
Neutral zone
Smith 65.2%
Result
Zack Smith favored at 57.2%
42.8%
57.2%
Larsson
Smith
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
4
(11 meetings)
7
4
Larsson
Smith
Last 10: Larsson 7-3 Smith
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Smith
0
2
Larsson
Smith
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Larsson
5
0
Larsson
Smith
5 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
Larsson
Smith
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Larsson
Smith
Edge
Even Strength
48.9% (501)
53.5% (430)
-4.6%
Power Play
50.0% (6)
47.7% (65)
+2.3%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (26)
49.1% (114)
+0.9%
On even strength, Smith has a +4.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Smith shoots left. Larsson is 48.1% vs left-shot opponents (347).
Larsson shoots left. Smith is 53.8% vs left-shot opponents (364).
Home / Away
Larsson
Smith
Home
51.7% (265)
54.0% (298)
Away
46.3% (268)
50.2% (311)
By Period
Larsson
Smith
P1
58.8%
55.4%
P2
44.1%
45.9%
P3
44.0%
54.6%
OT
71.4%
50.0%
Final 5 min
44.4%
52.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Larsson
40.0%▼
46.5%
49.0%
Smith
40.0%▼
47.0%
52.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 29, 2016 | 1 | 00:07 | Neutral | Zack Smith |
| Nov 29, 2016 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Zack Smith |
| Nov 9, 2016 | 3 | 18:44 | Neutral | Johan Larsson |
| Nov 9, 2016 | 3 | 07:50 | Offensive | Zack Smith |
| Nov 9, 2016 | 3 | 01:01 | Defensive | Johan Larsson |
| Nov 9, 2016 | 3 | 00:54 | Defensive | Johan Larsson |
| Nov 5, 2016 | 3 | 10:24 | Defensive | Johan Larsson |
| Nov 5, 2016 | 2 | 14:55 | Defensive | Johan Larsson |
| Nov 5, 2016 | 1 | 17:17 | Defensive | Johan Larsson |
| Nov 5, 2016 | 1 | 12:25 | Neutral | Johan Larsson |
| Nov 5, 2016 | 1 | 07:27 | Offensive | Zack Smith |