Scouting Report
Samuel Helenius holds a +6.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Helenius on neutral-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings). Hayden wins 37.8% vs left-shot opponents — Helenius shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hayden 43.3% vs Helenius 46.9% (-6.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hayden 78.1%
Defensive zone
Hayden 57.1%
Neutral zone
Hayden 62.2%
Result
John Hayden favored at 62.2%
62.2%
37.8%
Hayden
Helenius
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Hayden
Helenius
Zone Breakdown
Neutral Zone
Edge: Helenius
1
4
Hayden
Helenius
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hayden
Helenius
Edge
Even Strength
37.9% (153)
46.8% (477)
-8.9%
Power Play
57.1% (7)
0.0% (2)
+57.1%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (10)
20.0% (5)
+30.0%
On power play, Hayden has a +57.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Helenius shoots left. Hayden is 37.8% vs left-shot opponents (127).
Hayden shoots right. Helenius is 48.2% vs right-shot opponents (137).
Home / Away
Hayden
Helenius
Home
33.8% (77)
45.1% (266)
Away
44.1% (93)
47.7% (218)
By Period
Hayden
Helenius
P1
42.2%
51.0%
P2
36.7%
39.9%
P3
39.1%
47.5%
Final 5 min
50.0%
44.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hayden
46.0%▲
39.4%
39.4%
Helenius
48.0%▬
47.0%
46.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 7, 2025 | 1 | 01:52 | Neutral | Samuel Helenius |