Scouting Report
Zack Ostapchuk holds a +8.8% FO% edge overall. Hayden wins 37.8% vs left-shot opponents — Ostapchuk shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hayden 43.3% vs Ostapchuk 48.4% (-8.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hayden 68.9%
Defensive zone
Ostapchuk 58.1%
Neutral zone
Hayden 51.8%
Result
Zack Ostapchuk favored at 50.2%
49.8%
50.2%
Hayden
Ostapchuk
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Hayden
Ostapchuk
Last 5: Hayden 2-3 Ostapchuk
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Ostapchuk
0
1
Hayden
Ostapchuk
1 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
Hayden
Ostapchuk
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hayden
Ostapchuk
Edge
Even Strength
37.9% (153)
48.5% (612)
-10.6%
Power Play
57.1% (7)
28.6% (7)
+28.5%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (10)
46.8% (62)
+3.2%
On power play, Hayden has a +28.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Ostapchuk shoots left. Hayden is 37.8% vs left-shot opponents (127).
Hayden shoots right. Ostapchuk is 49.5% vs right-shot opponents (208).
Home / Away
Hayden
Ostapchuk
Home
33.8% (77)
48.6% (319)
Away
44.1% (93)
47.8% (362)
By Period
Hayden
Ostapchuk
P1
42.2%
48.2%
P2
36.7%
45.8%
P3
39.1%
50.5%
Final 5 min
50.0%
49.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hayden
46.0%▲
39.4%
39.4%
Ostapchuk
44.0%▼
48.5%
48.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 5, 2025 | 3 | 18:40 | Neutral | Zack Ostapchuk |
| Apr 5, 2025 | 2 | 11:45 | Defensive | Zack Ostapchuk |
| Apr 5, 2025 | 2 | 11:36 | Neutral | Zack Ostapchuk |
| Apr 5, 2025 | 2 | 07:39 | Neutral | John Hayden |
| Apr 5, 2025 | 1 | 05:46 | Neutral | John Hayden |