Scouting Report
John Madden holds a +12.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Madden on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). McMillan wins 37.6% vs left-shot opponents — Madden shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McMillan 41.7% vs Madden 50.9% (-12.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
McMillan 91.5%
Defensive zone
McMillan 75.4%
Neutral zone
McMillan 78.8%
Result
Brandon McMillan favored at 77.1%
77.1%
22.9%
McMillan
Madden
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
8
(8 meetings)
0
8
McMillan
Madden
Last 8: McMillan 0-8 Madden
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Madden
0
4
McMillan
Madden
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Madden
0
4
McMillan
Madden
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McMillan
Madden
Edge
Even Strength
39.5% (248)
51.8% (815)
-12.3%
Power Play
40.0% (20)
60.7% (28)
-20.7%
Penalty Kill
26.3% (19)
45.0% (129)
-18.7%
On power play, Madden has a +20.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Madden shoots left. McMillan is 37.6% vs left-shot opponents (218).
McMillan shoots left. Madden is 52.3% vs left-shot opponents (660).
Home / Away
McMillan
Madden
Home
36.3% (160)
52.8% (527)
Away
42.1% (133)
49.0% (461)
By Period
McMillan
Madden
P1
40.7%
50.5%
P2
42.3%
52.0%
P3
34.5%
50.0%
OT
0.0%
62.5%
Final 5 min
47.8%
53.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McMillan
46.0%▲
38.5%
38.9%
Madden
54.0%▲
50.0%
51.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 25, 2011 | OT | 00:06 | Defensive | John Madden |
| Feb 25, 2011 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | John Madden |
| Feb 25, 2011 | 3 | 07:02 | Defensive | John Madden |
| Feb 25, 2011 | 2 | 08:25 | Defensive | John Madden |
| Feb 25, 2011 | 2 | 03:41 | Neutral | John Madden |
| Feb 25, 2011 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | John Madden |
| Feb 18, 2011 | 3 | 01:22 | Defensive | John Madden |
| Feb 18, 2011 | 2 | 01:46 | Neutral | John Madden |