Scouting Report
John Madden holds a +3.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Staal on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Staal 48.1% vs Madden 50.9% (-3.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Madden 56.5%
Defensive zone
Madden 86.8%
Neutral zone
Madden 71.9%
Result
John Madden favored at 77.5%
22.5%
77.5%
Staal
Madden
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
1
(8 meetings)
7
1
Staal
Madden
Last 8: Staal 7-1 Madden
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Staal
2
1
Staal
Madden
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Staal
5
0
Staal
Madden
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Staal
Madden
Edge
Even Strength
47.4% (1,219)
51.8% (815)
-4.4%
Power Play
50.8% (356)
60.7% (28)
-9.9%
Penalty Kill
47.5% (141)
45.0% (129)
+2.5%
On power play, Madden has a +9.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Madden shoots left. Staal is 47.8% vs left-shot opponents (1,087).
Staal shoots left. Madden is 52.3% vs left-shot opponents (660).
Home / Away
Staal
Madden
Home
49.8% (880)
52.8% (527)
Away
46.2% (871)
49.0% (461)
By Period
Staal
Madden
P1
46.4%
50.5%
P2
46.1%
52.0%
P3
50.7%
50.0%
OT
53.5%
62.5%
Final 5 min
45.1%
53.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Staal
44.0%▼
47.0%
48.0%
Madden
54.0%▲
50.0%
51.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 8, 2010 | OT | 01:41 | Neutral | Eric Staal |
| Oct 8, 2010 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Eric Staal |
| Oct 8, 2010 | 2 | 06:15 | Defensive | John Madden |
| Oct 8, 2010 | 2 | 02:57 | Neutral | Eric Staal |
| Oct 8, 2010 | 1 | 17:42 | Defensive | Eric Staal |
| Oct 8, 2010 | 1 | 17:35 | Defensive | Eric Staal |
| Oct 8, 2010 | 1 | 17:23 | Neutral | Eric Staal |
| Oct 7, 2010 | 1 | 19:50 | Neutral | Eric Staal |