Scouting Report
John Madden holds a +2.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Dowell on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dowell 49.1% vs Madden 50.9% (-2.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Madden 57.6%
Defensive zone
Madden 75.9%
Neutral zone
Madden 66.1%
Result
John Madden favored at 66.3%
33.7%
66.3%
Dowell
Madden
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
2
(6 meetings)
4
2
Dowell
Madden
Last 6: Dowell 4-2 Madden
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Dowell
1
0
Dowell
Madden
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Madden
0
1
Dowell
Madden
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Dowell
3
1
Dowell
Madden
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dowell
Madden
Edge
Even Strength
49.9% (573)
51.8% (815)
-1.9%
Power Play
33.3% (12)
60.7% (28)
-27.4%
Penalty Kill
43.8% (64)
45.0% (129)
-1.2%
On power play, Madden has a +27.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Madden shoots left. Dowell is 48.7% vs left-shot opponents (476).
Dowell shoots left. Madden is 52.3% vs left-shot opponents (660).
Home / Away
Dowell
Madden
Home
52.5% (303)
52.8% (527)
Away
45.8% (349)
49.0% (461)
By Period
Dowell
Madden
P1
49.5%
50.5%
P2
47.0%
52.0%
P3
50.7%
50.0%
OT
0.0%
62.5%
Final 5 min
46.9%
53.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dowell
38.0%▼
47.0%
48.9%
Madden
54.0%▲
50.0%
51.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 28, 2011 | 3 | 12:59 | Neutral | Jake Dowell |
| Feb 16, 2011 | 3 | 10:06 | Neutral | Jake Dowell |
| Jan 25, 2011 | 2 | 11:04 | Neutral | John Madden |
| Jan 25, 2011 | 2 | 02:31 | Neutral | Jake Dowell |
| Oct 30, 2010 | 3 | 18:38 | Defensive | John Madden |
| Oct 30, 2010 | 1 | 14:59 | Offensive | Jake Dowell |