Scouting Report
Justin Abdelkader holds a +3.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Madden on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Madden 49.6% vs Abdelkader 52.4% (-3.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Abdelkader 76.8%
Defensive zone
Abdelkader 53.1%
Neutral zone
Abdelkader 63.1%
Result
Justin Abdelkader favored at 62.7%
37.3%
62.7%
Madden
Abdelkader
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
2
(6 meetings)
4
2
Madden
Abdelkader
Last 6: Madden 4-2 Abdelkader
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Madden
Abdelkader
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Madden
3
0
Madden
Abdelkader
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Abdelkader
0
1
Madden
Abdelkader
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Madden
Abdelkader
Edge
Even Strength
49.6% (268)
53.7% (393)
-4.1%
Power Play
0.0% (5)
71.4% (7)
-71.4%
Penalty Kill
57.1% (35)
43.5% (46)
+13.6%
On power play, Abdelkader has a +71.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Abdelkader shoots left. Madden is 47.2% vs left-shot opponents (212).
Madden shoots left. Abdelkader is 50.3% vs left-shot opponents (290).
Home / Away
Madden
Abdelkader
Home
52.3% (151)
56.4% (218)
Away
46.9% (162)
49.6% (234)
By Period
Madden
Abdelkader
P1
54.9%
55.6%
P2
54.1%
50.7%
P3
40.5%
51.9%
Final 5 min
40.5%
55.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Madden
54.0%▲
50.0%
49.5%
Abdelkader
56.0%▲
50.0%
52.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 1, 2012 | 3 | 11:15 | Defensive | John Madden |
| Apr 1, 2012 | 3 | 05:30 | Neutral | Justin Abdelkader |
| Apr 1, 2012 | 2 | 16:57 | Offensive | Justin Abdelkader |
| Apr 1, 2012 | 2 | 12:50 | Offensive | John Madden |
| Apr 1, 2012 | 1 | 14:55 | Defensive | John Madden |
| Apr 1, 2012 | 1 | 05:08 | Defensive | John Madden |