Scouting Report
John Madden holds a +3.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Madden on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Madden 50.9% vs Wilson 48.5% (+3.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Madden 52.3%
Defensive zone
Madden 85.9%
Neutral zone
Madden 64.2%
Result
John Madden favored at 69.4%
69.4%
30.6%
Madden
Wilson
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
2
(6 meetings)
4
2
Madden
Wilson
Last 6: Madden 4-2 Wilson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Wilson
0
1
Madden
Wilson
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Madden
2
0
Madden
Wilson
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Madden
2
1
Madden
Wilson
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Madden
Wilson
Edge
Even Strength
51.8% (815)
48.7% (115)
+3.1%
Power Play
60.7% (28)
100.0% (2)
-39.3%
Penalty Kill
45.0% (129)
26.7% (15)
+18.3%
On power play, Wilson has a +39.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Wilson shoots right. Madden is 48.5% vs right-shot opponents (328).
Madden shoots left. Wilson is 42.3% vs left-shot opponents (97).
Home / Away
Madden
Wilson
Home
52.8% (527)
43.3% (67)
Away
49.0% (461)
51.5% (66)
By Period
Madden
Wilson
P1
50.5%
42.9%
P2
52.0%
51.9%
P3
50.0%
45.5%
Final 5 min
53.2%
47.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Madden
54.0%▲
50.0%
51.0%
Wilson
50.0%▲
47.0%
47.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 27, 2010 | 3 | 14:43 | Neutral | John Madden |
| Dec 27, 2010 | 3 | 06:10 | Defensive | John Madden |
| Dec 27, 2010 | 2 | 09:16 | Neutral | John Madden |
| Dec 27, 2010 | 2 | 01:59 | Offensive | Kyle Wilson |
| Dec 27, 2010 | 1 | 02:59 | Neutral | Kyle Wilson |
| Nov 6, 2010 | 2 | 11:36 | Defensive | John Madden |