Scouting Report
Patrice Bergeron holds a +9.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Madden on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Madden wins 54.5% vs right-shot opponents — Bergeron shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Madden 49.6% vs Bergeron 58.8% (-9.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Bergeron 76.9%
Defensive zone
Bergeron 56.3%
Neutral zone
Bergeron 64.1%
Result
Patrice Bergeron favored at 62.0%
38.0%
62.0%
Madden
Bergeron
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Madden
Bergeron
Last 5: Madden 3-2 Bergeron
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Bergeron
0
1
Madden
Bergeron
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Madden
2
1
Madden
Bergeron
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Madden
1
0
Madden
Bergeron
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Madden
Bergeron
Edge
Even Strength
49.6% (268)
61.6% (1,186)
-12.0%
Power Play
0.0% (5)
52.2% (201)
-52.2%
Penalty Kill
57.1% (35)
54.6% (240)
+2.5%
On power play, Bergeron has a +52.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bergeron shoots right. Madden is 54.5% vs right-shot opponents (101).
Madden shoots left. Bergeron is 59.8% vs left-shot opponents (1,127).
Home / Away
Madden
Bergeron
Home
52.3% (151)
61.7% (828)
Away
46.9% (162)
56.8% (813)
By Period
Madden
Bergeron
P1
54.9%
58.5%
P2
54.1%
61.8%
P3
40.5%
57.8%
Final 5 min
40.5%
58.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Madden
54.0%▲
50.0%
49.5%
Bergeron
76.0%▲
64.5%
59.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 15, 2012 | 2 | 17:14 | Offensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Jan 16, 2012 | 3 | 13:43 | Defensive | John Madden |
| Jan 16, 2012 | 2 | 13:19 | Defensive | John Madden |
| Jan 16, 2012 | 1 | 12:14 | Neutral | John Madden |
| Jan 16, 2012 | 1 | 00:42 | Defensive | Patrice Bergeron |