Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (50.7% vs 50.9%). Look for Madden on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Madden 50.6% vs Marleau 50.9% (-0.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Marleau 62.6%
Defensive zone
Madden 66.6%
Neutral zone
Madden 53.6%
Result
John Madden favored at 57.4%
57.4%
42.6%
Madden
Marleau
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
2
(6 meetings)
4
2
Madden
Marleau
Last 6: Madden 4-2 Marleau
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Madden
1
0
Madden
Marleau
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Madden
2
1
Madden
Marleau
3 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Madden
Marleau
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Madden
Marleau
Edge
Even Strength
51.2% (1,083)
50.3% (2,656)
+0.9%
Power Play
51.5% (33)
55.7% (332)
-4.2%
Penalty Kill
47.6% (164)
50.7% (452)
-3.1%
On power play, Marleau has a +4.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Marleau shoots left. Madden is 51.0% vs left-shot opponents (872).
Madden shoots left. Marleau is 50.8% vs left-shot opponents (2,061).
Home / Away
Madden
Marleau
Home
52.7% (678)
53.3% (1,735)
Away
48.5% (623)
48.5% (1,715)
By Period
Madden
Marleau
P1
51.5%
52.2%
P2
52.5%
49.5%
P3
47.6%
50.7%
OT
62.5%
55.1%
Final 5 min
50.2%
54.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Madden
54.0%▲
50.0%
50.7%
Marleau
50.0%▲
47.0%
50.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 17, 2011 | 2 | 18:45 | Defensive | Patrick Marleau |
| Dec 29, 2010 | 3 | 10:50 | Defensive | John Madden |
| Dec 29, 2010 | 3 | 10:35 | Neutral | Patrick Marleau |
| Dec 29, 2010 | 1 | 16:17 | Neutral | John Madden |
| Dec 29, 2010 | 1 | 03:28 | Defensive | John Madden |
| Nov 2, 2010 | 3 | 10:35 | Offensive | John Madden |