Scouting Report
Patrick Marleau holds a +1.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Madden on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Madden 50.9% vs Marleau 52.1% (-1.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Madden 50.2%
Defensive zone
Madden 58.0%
Neutral zone
Marleau 56.4%
Result
John Madden favored at 51.9%
51.9%
48.1%
Madden
Marleau
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
2
(6 meetings)
4
2
Madden
Marleau
Last 6: Madden 4-2 Marleau
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Madden
1
0
Madden
Marleau
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Madden
2
1
Madden
Marleau
3 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Madden
Marleau
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Madden
Marleau
Edge
Even Strength
51.8% (815)
50.9% (350)
+0.9%
Power Play
60.7% (28)
64.8% (54)
-4.1%
Penalty Kill
45.0% (129)
51.4% (142)
-6.4%
On penalty kill, Marleau has a +6.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Marleau shoots left. Madden is 52.3% vs left-shot opponents (660).
Madden shoots left. Marleau is 56.0% vs left-shot opponents (341).
Home / Away
Madden
Marleau
Home
52.8% (527)
54.3% (289)
Away
49.0% (461)
50.4% (260)
By Period
Madden
Marleau
P1
50.5%
53.3%
P2
52.0%
53.3%
P3
50.0%
50.5%
OT
62.5%
58.3%
Final 5 min
53.2%
57.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Madden
54.0%▲
50.0%
51.0%
Marleau
50.0%▲
47.0%
52.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 17, 2011 | 2 | 18:45 | Defensive | Patrick Marleau |
| Dec 29, 2010 | 3 | 10:50 | Defensive | John Madden |
| Dec 29, 2010 | 3 | 10:35 | Neutral | Patrick Marleau |
| Dec 29, 2010 | 1 | 16:17 | Neutral | John Madden |
| Dec 29, 2010 | 1 | 03:28 | Defensive | John Madden |
| Nov 2, 2010 | 3 | 10:35 | Offensive | John Madden |