Scouting Report
John Madden holds a +11.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Madden on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Madden 50.6% vs Schaefer 47.4% (+11.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Madden 63.3%
Defensive zone
Madden 90.7%
Neutral zone
Madden 77.5%
Result
John Madden favored at 88.1%
88.1%
11.9%
Madden
Schaefer
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Madden
Schaefer
Last 5: Madden 4-1 Schaefer
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Madden
3
1
Madden
Schaefer
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Madden
1
0
Madden
Schaefer
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Madden
Schaefer
Edge
Even Strength
51.2% (1,083)
43.3% (30)
+7.9%
Penalty Kill
47.6% (164)
0.0% (2)
+47.6%
On penalty kill, Madden has a +47.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Schaefer shoots left. Madden is 51.0% vs left-shot opponents (872).
Madden shoots left. Schaefer is 47.4% vs left-shot opponents (19).
Home / Away
Madden
Schaefer
Home
52.7% (678)
42.9% (21)
Away
48.5% (623)
33.3% (12)
By Period
Madden
Schaefer
P1
51.5%
45.5%
P2
52.5%
30.0%
P3
47.6%
41.7%
Final 5 min
50.2%
28.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Madden
54.0%▲
50.0%
50.7%
Schaefer
39.4%▬
39.4%
39.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 22, 2010 | 1 | 11:03 | Defensive | Peter Schaefer |
| Oct 22, 2010 | 1 | 11:00 | Neutral | John Madden |
| Oct 22, 2010 | 1 | 07:19 | Defensive | John Madden |
| Oct 19, 2010 | 3 | 19:57 | Defensive | John Madden |
| Oct 19, 2010 | 3 | 19:33 | Defensive | John Madden |