Scouting Report
Ryan Kesler holds a +4.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Kesler on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Madden wins 54.5% vs right-shot opponents — Kesler shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Madden 49.6% vs Kesler 53.3% (-4.1%)
H2H factor
Kesler leads 5-5 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Kesler 61.3%
Defensive zone
Madden 62.7%
Neutral zone
Kesler 50.8%
Result
Ryan Kesler favored at 52.3%
47.7%
52.3%
Madden
Kesler
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
5
(10 meetings)
5
5
Madden
Kesler
Last 10: Madden 5-5 Kesler
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kesler
0
4
Madden
Kesler
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Madden
2
0
Madden
Kesler
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Madden
3
1
Madden
Kesler
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Madden
Kesler
Edge
Even Strength
49.6% (268)
53.8% (981)
-4.2%
Power Play
0.0% (5)
56.9% (160)
-56.9%
Penalty Kill
57.1% (35)
49.2% (185)
+7.9%
On power play, Kesler has a +56.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kesler shoots right. Madden is 54.5% vs right-shot opponents (101).
Madden shoots left. Kesler is 53.6% vs left-shot opponents (959).
Home / Away
Madden
Kesler
Home
52.3% (151)
54.1% (690)
Away
46.9% (162)
53.1% (661)
By Period
Madden
Kesler
P1
54.9%
52.3%
P2
54.1%
52.8%
P3
40.5%
56.3%
Final 5 min
40.5%
58.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Madden
54.0%▲
50.0%
49.5%
Kesler
50.0%▼
54.5%
53.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 9, 2012 | 3 | 18:08 | Offensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Jan 9, 2012 | 3 | 15:18 | Offensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Jan 9, 2012 | 3 | 04:42 | Defensive | John Madden |
| Jan 9, 2012 | 2 | 05:31 | Defensive | John Madden |
| Jan 9, 2012 | 2 | 02:47 | Neutral | John Madden |
| Jan 9, 2012 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan Kesler |
| Jan 9, 2012 | 1 | 12:33 | Offensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Jan 9, 2012 | 1 | 08:34 | Offensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Jan 9, 2012 | 1 | 03:11 | Neutral | John Madden |
| Jan 9, 2012 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | John Madden |