Scouting Report
John Mitchell holds a +3.1% FO% edge overall. Look for McCarthy on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McCarthy 48.6% vs Mitchell 51.0% (-3.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
McCarthy 50.4%
Defensive zone
Mitchell 84.6%
Neutral zone
Mitchell 68.9%
Result
John Mitchell favored at 62.5%
37.5%
62.5%
McCarthy
Mitchell
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
1
(6 meetings)
5
1
McCarthy
Mitchell
Last 6: McCarthy 5-1 Mitchell
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: McCarthy
2
0
McCarthy
Mitchell
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: McCarthy
3
1
McCarthy
Mitchell
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McCarthy
Mitchell
Edge
Even Strength
49.0% (198)
51.8% (2,965)
-2.8%
Power Play
33.3% (6)
54.1% (196)
-20.8%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (9)
44.1% (401)
-10.8%
On power play, Mitchell has a +20.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Mitchell shoots left. McCarthy is 47.1% vs left-shot opponents (140).
McCarthy shoots left. Mitchell is 51.2% vs left-shot opponents (2,298).
Home / Away
McCarthy
Mitchell
Home
51.7% (116)
54.4% (1,806)
Away
43.3% (97)
47.6% (1,756)
By Period
McCarthy
Mitchell
P1
41.1%
52.0%
P2
58.9%
49.9%
P3
43.3%
50.9%
Final 5 min
47.9%
51.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McCarthy
60.0%▲
48.5%
47.9%
Mitchell
66.0%▲
56.5%
51.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 4, 2014 | 1 | 11:40 | Neutral | John McCarthy |
| Dec 23, 2013 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | John McCarthy |
| Dec 23, 2013 | 2 | 13:29 | Offensive | John McCarthy |
| Dec 23, 2013 | 2 | 13:25 | Neutral | John Mitchell |
| Dec 23, 2013 | 2 | 01:12 | Offensive | John McCarthy |
| Dec 23, 2013 | 1 | 11:05 | Neutral | John McCarthy |