Scouting Report
John Mitchell holds a +3.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Mitchell on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Henrique 48.9% vs Mitchell 51.2% (-3.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Henrique 60.3%
Defensive zone
Henrique 80.2%
Neutral zone
Henrique 64.8%
Result
Adam Henrique favored at 64.4%
64.4%
35.6%
Henrique
Mitchell
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
5
(6 meetings)
1
5
Henrique
Mitchell
Last 6: Henrique 1-5 Mitchell
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Mitchell
0
4
Henrique
Mitchell
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Henrique
1
0
Henrique
Mitchell
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Mitchell
0
1
Henrique
Mitchell
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Henrique
Mitchell
Edge
Even Strength
48.0% (816)
51.4% (175)
-3.4%
Power Play
54.8% (62)
54.2% (24)
+0.6%
On even strength, Mitchell has a +3.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Mitchell shoots left. Henrique is 49.7% vs left-shot opponents (682).
Henrique shoots left. Mitchell is 50.8% vs left-shot opponents (132).
Home / Away
Henrique
Mitchell
Home
51.2% (461)
55.0% (109)
Away
46.9% (565)
47.8% (90)
By Period
Henrique
Mitchell
P1
49.5%
56.1%
P2
48.5%
50.6%
P3
49.1%
48.1%
Final 5 min
50.4%
47.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Henrique
52.0%▬
52.5%
48.8%
Mitchell
66.0%▲
56.5%
51.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 27, 2012 | 2 | 19:05 | Offensive | John Mitchell |
| Feb 7, 2012 | 3 | 14:49 | Offensive | John Mitchell |
| Feb 7, 2012 | 3 | 12:25 | Offensive | John Mitchell |
| Feb 7, 2012 | 3 | 03:46 | Offensive | John Mitchell |
| Feb 7, 2012 | 3 | 03:36 | Defensive | Adam Henrique |
| Feb 7, 2012 | 1 | 08:14 | Neutral | John Mitchell |