Scouting Report
Brad Richardson holds a +5.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Richardson on defensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings). Richardson wins 56.1% vs left-shot opponents — Mitchell shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Richardson 54.7% vs Mitchell 50.0% (+5.2%)
H2H factor
Richardson leads 8-2 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Richardson 63.9%
Defensive zone
Richardson 88.3%
Neutral zone
Richardson 85.4%
Result
Brad Richardson favored at 82.5%
82.5%
17.5%
Richardson
Mitchell
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
2
(10 meetings)
8
2
Richardson
Mitchell
Last 10: Richardson 8-2 Mitchell
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Richardson
Mitchell
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Richardson
4
1
Richardson
Mitchell
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Richardson
3
0
Richardson
Mitchell
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Richardson
Mitchell
Edge
Even Strength
56.8% (803)
50.6% (607)
+6.2%
Power Play
60.0% (15)
61.2% (49)
-1.2%
Penalty Kill
45.9% (148)
40.2% (92)
+5.7%
On even strength, Richardson has a +6.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Mitchell shoots left. Richardson is 56.1% vs left-shot opponents (586).
Richardson shoots left. Mitchell is 47.9% vs left-shot opponents (457).
Home / Away
Richardson
Mitchell
Home
54.6% (577)
52.0% (406)
Away
56.0% (389)
47.7% (342)
By Period
Richardson
Mitchell
P1
49.0%
51.6%
P2
60.9%
44.0%
P3
54.6%
55.0%
OT
54.5%
42.9%
Final 5 min
57.1%
56.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Richardson
58.0%▬
58.0%
55.2%
Mitchell
66.0%▲
56.5%
50.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 10, 2014 | 3 | 13:58 | Offensive | Brad Richardson |
| Apr 10, 2014 | 3 | 07:32 | Defensive | Brad Richardson |
| Apr 10, 2014 | 2 | 15:24 | Defensive | Brad Richardson |
| Dec 8, 2013 | 3 | 16:50 | Offensive | John Mitchell |
| Dec 8, 2013 | 3 | 07:17 | Neutral | Brad Richardson |
| Dec 8, 2013 | 3 | 04:00 | Defensive | Brad Richardson |
| Dec 8, 2013 | 3 | 01:32 | Neutral | Brad Richardson |
| Dec 8, 2013 | 2 | 15:51 | Defensive | John Mitchell |
| Dec 8, 2013 | 1 | 08:34 | Defensive | Brad Richardson |
| Dec 8, 2013 | 1 | 03:56 | Neutral | Brad Richardson |