Scouting Report
John Mitchell holds a +8.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Mitchell on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Schenn wins 44.6% vs left-shot opponents — Mitchell shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Schenn 47.5% vs Mitchell 54.5% (-8.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Schenn 86.7%
Defensive zone
Schenn 81.7%
Neutral zone
Schenn 79.7%
Result
Brayden Schenn favored at 82.4%
82.4%
17.6%
Schenn
Mitchell
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
5
(6 meetings)
1
5
Schenn
Mitchell
Last 6: Schenn 1-5 Mitchell
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Schenn
Mitchell
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Mitchell
0
1
Schenn
Mitchell
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Mitchell
0
3
Schenn
Mitchell
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Schenn
Mitchell
Edge
Even Strength
46.5% (469)
55.7% (485)
-9.2%
Power Play
56.0% (25)
58.3% (12)
-2.3%
On even strength, Mitchell has a +9.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Mitchell shoots left. Schenn is 44.6% vs left-shot opponents (327).
Schenn shoots left. Mitchell is 58.0% vs left-shot opponents (319).
Home / Away
Schenn
Mitchell
Home
49.6% (236)
61.9% (265)
Away
44.6% (258)
49.1% (273)
By Period
Schenn
Mitchell
P1
48.0%
54.9%
P2
48.1%
56.8%
P3
42.2%
54.5%
Final 5 min
49.5%
55.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Schenn
48.0%▼
52.5%
47.0%
Mitchell
66.0%▲
56.5%
55.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 28, 2017 | 3 | 08:59 | Offensive | Brayden Schenn |
| Feb 28, 2017 | 3 | 04:59 | Neutral | John Mitchell |
| Feb 28, 2017 | 3 | 04:51 | Defensive | John Mitchell |
| Feb 28, 2017 | 1 | 01:04 | Offensive | John Mitchell |
| Dec 14, 2016 | 2 | 04:01 | Neutral | John Mitchell |
| Dec 14, 2016 | 1 | 18:55 | Neutral | John Mitchell |