Scouting Report
John Mitchell holds a +3.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Mitchell on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Paquette wins 45.3% vs left-shot opponents — Mitchell shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Paquette 48.4% vs Mitchell 50.8% (-3.2%)
H2H factor
Mitchell leads 6-4 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Paquette 57.7%
Defensive zone
Paquette 60.2%
Neutral zone
Paquette 57.0%
Result
Cedric Paquette favored at 58.1%
58.1%
41.9%
Paquette
Mitchell
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
6
(10 meetings)
4
6
Paquette
Mitchell
Last 10: Paquette 4-6 Mitchell
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Paquette
Mitchell
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Mitchell
1
2
Paquette
Mitchell
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Mitchell
2
3
Paquette
Mitchell
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Paquette
Mitchell
Edge
Even Strength
45.2% (197)
51.2% (666)
-6.0%
Power Play
100.0% (2)
45.5% (22)
+54.5%
Penalty Kill
58.3% (36)
48.9% (47)
+9.4%
On power play, Paquette has a +54.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Mitchell shoots left. Paquette is 45.3% vs left-shot opponents (150).
Paquette shoots left. Mitchell is 51.2% vs left-shot opponents (488).
Home / Away
Paquette
Mitchell
Home
51.0% (98)
51.7% (360)
Away
45.3% (137)
50.1% (375)
By Period
Paquette
Mitchell
P1
44.1%
50.2%
P2
51.2%
49.4%
P3
46.8%
51.9%
Final 5 min
43.1%
49.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Paquette
28.0%▼
38.5%
47.7%
Mitchell
66.0%▲
56.5%
50.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 17, 2015 | 3 | 08:54 | Offensive | Cedric Paquette |
| Jan 17, 2015 | 2 | 12:24 | Neutral | John Mitchell |
| Jan 17, 2015 | 2 | 08:55 | Defensive | John Mitchell |
| Jan 17, 2015 | 2 | 05:25 | Neutral | Cedric Paquette |
| Jan 17, 2015 | 2 | 00:06 | Defensive | Cedric Paquette |
| Jan 17, 2015 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Cedric Paquette |
| Jan 17, 2015 | 1 | 17:08 | Defensive | John Mitchell |
| Jan 17, 2015 | 1 | 07:55 | Neutral | John Mitchell |
| Jan 17, 2015 | 1 | 02:05 | Offensive | John Mitchell |
| Jan 17, 2015 | 1 | 01:58 | Neutral | John Mitchell |