Scouting Report
John Mitchell holds a +15.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Mitchell on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 9 meetings). Smith wins 30.9% vs left-shot opponents — Mitchell shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Smith 38.2% vs Mitchell 49.0% (-15.9%)
H2H factor
Mitchell leads 9-6 in 15 meetings
Offensive zone
Smith 94.4%
Defensive zone
Mitchell 66.6%
Neutral zone
Smith 70.3%
Result
Craig Smith favored at 56.2%
56.2%
43.8%
Smith
Mitchell
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
9
(15 meetings)
6
9
Smith
Mitchell
Last 10: Smith 3-7 Mitchell
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Smith
5
0
Smith
Mitchell
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Mitchell
0
9
Smith
Mitchell
9 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Smith
1
0
Smith
Mitchell
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Smith
Mitchell
Edge
Even Strength
33.9% (177)
52.5% (676)
-18.6%
Power Play
30.8% (52)
55.6% (18)
-24.8%
Penalty Kill
0.0% (1)
32.3% (155)
-32.3%
On penalty kill, Mitchell has a +32.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Mitchell shoots left. Smith is 30.9% vs left-shot opponents (181).
Smith shoots right. Mitchell is 46.1% vs right-shot opponents (308).
Home / Away
Smith
Mitchell
Home
37.0% (119)
52.2% (450)
Away
28.8% (111)
45.1% (399)
By Period
Smith
Mitchell
P1
37.5%
51.2%
P2
32.5%
50.2%
P3
27.3%
44.8%
OT
100.0%
80.0%
Final 5 min
29.5%
51.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Smith
30.0%▼
44.0%
33.0%
Mitchell
66.0%▲
56.5%
48.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 5, 2016 | 1 | 16:53 | Offensive | Craig Smith |
| Apr 5, 2016 | 1 | 01:51 | Defensive | John Mitchell |
| Mar 28, 2016 | 3 | 09:19 | Defensive | John Mitchell |
| Mar 28, 2016 | 2 | 17:53 | Offensive | Craig Smith |
| Mar 28, 2016 | 2 | 11:13 | Defensive | John Mitchell |
| Mar 28, 2016 | 2 | 05:15 | Defensive | John Mitchell |
| Mar 28, 2016 | 1 | 13:07 | Defensive | John Mitchell |
| Mar 28, 2016 | 1 | 10:32 | Defensive | John Mitchell |
| Mar 5, 2016 | 3 | 02:32 | Defensive | John Mitchell |
| Mar 5, 2016 | 2 | 01:57 | Offensive | Craig Smith |
| Mar 5, 2016 | 1 | 02:42 | Defensive | John Mitchell |
| Dec 12, 2015 | 2 | 17:08 | Defensive | John Mitchell |
| Dec 12, 2015 | 2 | 14:21 | Offensive | Craig Smith |
| Dec 12, 2015 | 2 | 08:33 | Neutral | Craig Smith |
| Dec 12, 2015 | 1 | 03:45 | Offensive | Craig Smith |