Scouting Report
John Mitchell holds a +10.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Mitchell on defensive-zone draws (77% H2H, 13 meetings). Smith wins 39.0% vs left-shot opponents — Mitchell shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Smith 41.2% vs Mitchell 51.0% (-10.5%)
H2H factor
Mitchell leads 13-10 in 23 meetings
Offensive zone
Smith 89.2%
Defensive zone
Mitchell 86.6%
Neutral zone
Smith 63.8%
Result
John Mitchell favored at 57.0%
43.0%
57.0%
Smith
Mitchell
Head-to-Head Record
10
-
13
(23 meetings)
10
13
Smith
Mitchell
Last 10: Smith 3-7 Mitchell
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Smith
6
1
Smith
Mitchell
7 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Mitchell
3
10
Smith
Mitchell
13 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Mitchell
1
2
Smith
Mitchell
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Smith
Mitchell
Edge
Even Strength
40.8% (1,023)
51.8% (2,965)
-11.0%
Power Play
39.4% (198)
54.1% (196)
-14.7%
Penalty Kill
44.4% (9)
44.1% (401)
+0.3%
On power play, Mitchell has a +14.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Mitchell shoots left. Smith is 39.0% vs left-shot opponents (920).
Smith shoots right. Mitchell is 50.7% vs right-shot opponents (1,264).
Home / Away
Smith
Mitchell
Home
42.3% (556)
54.4% (1,806)
Away
39.1% (675)
47.6% (1,756)
By Period
Smith
Mitchell
P1
39.0%
52.0%
P2
42.1%
49.9%
P3
40.2%
50.9%
OT
75.0%
69.2%
Final 5 min
40.8%
51.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Smith
30.0%▼
44.0%
40.5%
Mitchell
66.0%▲
56.5%
51.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 29, 2016 | 2 | 15:16 | Neutral | John Mitchell |
| Nov 29, 2016 | 2 | 09:07 | Defensive | Craig Smith |
| Apr 5, 2016 | 1 | 16:53 | Offensive | Craig Smith |
| Apr 5, 2016 | 1 | 01:51 | Defensive | John Mitchell |
| Mar 28, 2016 | 3 | 09:19 | Defensive | John Mitchell |
| Mar 28, 2016 | 2 | 17:53 | Offensive | Craig Smith |
| Mar 28, 2016 | 2 | 11:13 | Defensive | John Mitchell |
| Mar 28, 2016 | 2 | 05:15 | Defensive | John Mitchell |
| Mar 28, 2016 | 1 | 13:07 | Defensive | John Mitchell |
| Mar 28, 2016 | 1 | 10:32 | Defensive | John Mitchell |
| Mar 5, 2016 | 3 | 02:32 | Defensive | John Mitchell |
| Mar 5, 2016 | 2 | 01:57 | Offensive | Craig Smith |
| Mar 5, 2016 | 1 | 02:42 | Defensive | John Mitchell |
| Dec 12, 2015 | 2 | 17:08 | Defensive | John Mitchell |
| Dec 12, 2015 | 2 | 14:21 | Offensive | Craig Smith |
| Dec 12, 2015 | 2 | 08:33 | Neutral | Craig Smith |
| Dec 12, 2015 | 1 | 03:45 | Offensive | Craig Smith |
| Apr 2, 2013 | 3 | 01:33 | Defensive | Craig Smith |
| Apr 2, 2013 | 2 | 12:53 | Offensive | Craig Smith |
| Apr 2, 2013 | 2 | 09:09 | Defensive | Craig Smith |