Scouting Report
John Mitchell holds a +1.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Mitchell on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Benn wins 53.7% vs left-shot opponents — Mitchell shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Benn 47.8% vs Mitchell 49.0% (-1.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Benn 82.1%
Defensive zone
Mitchell 72.5%
Neutral zone
Benn 58.2%
Result
Jamie Benn favored at 50.8%
50.8%
49.2%
Benn
Mitchell
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
Benn
Mitchell
Last 6: Benn 2-4 Mitchell
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Benn
2
0
Benn
Mitchell
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Mitchell
0
3
Benn
Mitchell
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Mitchell
0
1
Benn
Mitchell
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Benn
Mitchell
Edge
Even Strength
49.1% (316)
52.5% (676)
-3.4%
Power Play
44.2% (147)
55.6% (18)
-11.4%
Penalty Kill
40.0% (15)
32.3% (155)
+7.7%
On power play, Mitchell has a +11.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Mitchell shoots left. Benn is 53.7% vs left-shot opponents (242).
Benn shoots left. Mitchell is 50.5% vs left-shot opponents (541).
Home / Away
Benn
Mitchell
Home
50.0% (232)
52.2% (450)
Away
44.7% (246)
45.1% (399)
By Period
Benn
Mitchell
P1
43.9%
51.2%
P2
45.6%
50.2%
P3
51.6%
44.8%
OT
100.0%
80.0%
Final 5 min
43.4%
51.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Benn
48.0%▼
52.5%
47.3%
Mitchell
66.0%▲
56.5%
48.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 7, 2016 | 2 | 03:36 | Offensive | Jamie Benn |
| Feb 4, 2016 | 2 | 13:13 | Neutral | John Mitchell |
| Feb 4, 2016 | 2 | 06:16 | Defensive | John Mitchell |
| Jan 23, 2016 | 2 | 09:48 | Offensive | Jamie Benn |
| Oct 10, 2015 | 3 | 18:26 | Defensive | John Mitchell |
| Oct 10, 2015 | 3 | 11:19 | Defensive | John Mitchell |